FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · BAL

Derrick Henry

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:06.910759+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Derrick Henry RBBAL 16.53715.6884.1

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
266
Draft average position
16.6

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
115.7
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
147
rushing yards
579
rushing tds
7
targets
12
receptions
10
receiving yards
68
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
30
receiving first downs
4
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
6.1
Fantasy points per game
16.53
Yards per carry
3.9
Yards per target
5.7
Yards per reception
6.8
Catch rate (%)
83.3
Total yards
647
Yards per game
92.4
touches
157
first downs
34
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
126.2
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-8.5
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
272
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
307
rushing yards
1,595
rushing tds
16
targets
21
receptions
15
receiving yards
150
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
81
receiving first downs
4
fumbles lost
3
Target share in observed games (%)
5.2
Fantasy points per game
16
Yards per carry
5.2
Yards per target
7.1
Yards per reception
10
Catch rate (%)
71.4
Total yards
1,745
Yards per game
102.6
touches
322
first downs
85
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
243.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
34.2
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
57.1
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
29.25
rush time to los
2.94
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.05
rush efficiency
4.36
rush pct over expected
0.32
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
1.87
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.07
rush broken tackles
5
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
8.3

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
54.5
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
39.09
rush time to los
2.78
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
1.05
rush efficiency
3.3
rush pct over expected
0.43
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.94
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.25
rush broken tackles
12
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.8

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Age is the only argument against Derrick Henry, and last season refused to make it. He ran for 1,595 yards and 16 touchdowns, faced stacked boxes on 39 percent of his carries, the second-highest rate among qualified backs, and still produced 1.12 rush yards over expected per attempt, third-best. Both his yards before contact and after contact graded top-quartile, which for a back this size against that many loaded fronts is remarkable, and Baltimore's early implied totals lead the league at 27 a game. The receiving is gone, 15 catches all year, so his median week was 12.6 despite 16 points a game, and everything routes through touchdowns. Markets price the birthday: he goes RB13 at 22.0 in half-PPR and RB15 in standard formats while the consensus projection puts him RB6 at 264, one of the larger projection-to-price gaps at the position. His 28-point beat of expected points and his three lost fumbles both regress, and at 32 the decline does eventually arrive. A 322-touch season in the best scoring environment in football rarely vanishes in a single offseason, which is what the current price quietly assumes.

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "unavailable", "news_inference": "unavailable", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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      "receiving_first_downs": 4.0,
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      "pass_rating": null,
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Use this source carefully