FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · NYJ

Geno Smith

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:44.920523+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Geno Smith QBNYJ 14.44713.910

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
219
Draft average position
257

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
101.1
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
1,623
passing tds
10
interceptions
2
carries
22
rushing yards
42
rushing tds
0
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
65
rushing first downs
6
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
14.44
Yards per carry
1.9
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
1,665
Yards per game
237.9
touches
22
first downs
6
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-3.8
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
171.9
Games played
15
Observed through week
17
passing yards
3,025
passing tds
19
interceptions
17
carries
41
rushing yards
109
rushing tds
0
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
149
rushing first downs
14
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
11.46
Yards per carry
2.7
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
3,134
Yards per game
208.9
touches
41
first downs
14
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
22.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-12
Opportunity observed through week
17
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
100
Time to throw (seconds)
2.92
Average depth of pass target (yards)
7.02
pass aggressiveness
15.46
Completion percentage above expectation
6.36
pass air to sticks
-2.48
pass rating
105.2
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
25
pass bad throw pct
15.1
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
96.5
Time to throw (seconds)
2.8
Average depth of pass target (yards)
6.63
pass aggressiveness
15.4
Completion percentage above expectation
1.56
pass air to sticks
-2.27
pass rating
84.72
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
2
pass pressured pct
22.5
pass bad throw pct
11.2
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Redraft rooms have mostly stopped pricing Geno Smith, who registers no meaningful ADP in single-quarterback formats and goes QB36 around pick 187 in superflex. The consensus projection is friendlier than that, 233 points and QB26 on roughly 3,456 passing yards for the Jets. The cold shoulder traces to a 2025 season in which his seventeen interceptions led the position, his 6.6 aDOT sat in the bottom tenth, his average throw arrived more than two yards short of the sticks, and the sum was a 10th-percentile 84.7 passer rating with 12.6 points per game. New York ranks 30th in implied team totals, so the change of scenery does not read as an environmental upgrade. In superflex, where any projected starter carries a price floor, a QB26 projection at a QB36 cost is worth a final-round claim, and everywhere else the market's shrug matches the profile.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Geno Smith to start Friday  — Smith will see his first action on the field this season. He'll likely only play one or two series. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-08-20T17:52:43+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-24T10:00:03.418357+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "to start friday; first action; one or two series",
  "llm_role_change": 1,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-08-24T10:14:12.149146+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "team": "NYJ",
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    "age": 36,
    "exp": 13,
    "injury": null,
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      "carries": 41.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 14.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
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      "ypc": 2.7,
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      "pass_aggressiveness": 15.4,
      "pass_cpoe": 1.56,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -2.27,
      "pass_rating": 84.72,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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Use this source carefully