Mike Washington Jr.

{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/13305",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:40:56.612344+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "13305",
    "name": "Mike Washington Jr.",
    "team": "LV",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 23,
    "exp": 0,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": true,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 5.38,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 5.377555555555556,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 92,
    "adp": 137.8,
    "adp_pr": 45,
    "ly": null,
    "adv": null,
    "ytd": null,
    "adv_ytd": null
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "13305",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:40:56.614924+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Among the rookie backs going in this range, Mike Washington is one of the few whose price and projection roughly agree. Standard leagues take him at RB54, the consensus scores him RB60 with 93 carries, 15 catches and about 70 half-PPR points, and at 23 he already sits second on the Raiders depth chart, which is more of a real toehold than most 12th-round rookies can claim. What caps him is the offense around him: Las Vegas carries implied team totals averaging 19.2 points a game, 28th in the league, with a Week 2 number as low as 17 against the Chargers, so his touches project to arrive in a unit that scores rarely and trails often. He makes sense as a late pick for contingent volume, with the understanding that the ceiling on that volume's value is lower than the depth chart slot suggests.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Mike Washington Jr. sees seven touches in Week 1 win — Washington Jr. was impactful operating behind Ashton Jeanty in the Las Vegas backfield, averaging 5.9 yards per carry in the win. The running back will look to continue to offer impactful touches as the primary handcuff to Jeanty in the Las Vegas backfield moving forward, with a Week 2 divisional matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers up next.",
      "latest_at": "2026-09-14T15:35:29+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-09-15T10:00:03.130918+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": 1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
      "llm_severity": 0,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "seven touches; impactful touches; primary handcuff; las vegas backfield; week 2 matchup",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-15T10:11:29.862120+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    },
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}