FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · PIT

Germie Bernard

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:14.864838+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Germie Bernard WRPIT 7.5567.180

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
88
Draft average position
241.4

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
45.3
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
1
rushing yards
4
rushing tds
0
targets
37
receptions
27
receiving yards
254
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
12
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
17.7
Fantasy points per game
7.55
Yards per carry
4
Yards per target
6.9
Yards per reception
9.4
Catch rate (%)
73
Total yards
258
Yards per game
43
touches
28
first downs
12
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
44.6
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
0.7
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Unavailable.

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
61
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.54
rec avg cushion
5.7
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
5.26
rec air share
11.29
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.16
rec catch pct
72.97
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
1
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
8.1

Previous season: advanced statistics

Unavailable.

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Pittsburgh's rookie is one of the few players at this depth whose consensus projection outruns his price. The forecast gives Bernard 45 catches for 551 yards, WR72, while half-PPR drafters wait until pick 210 and WR81, roughly a round of free ground. A stat line like that implies meaningful snaps early, which is a real assumption for a player listed third among Steelers receivers with no pro production behind him. The whole bet is that the projected role arrives, and nothing in the data argues either direction on that. The environment won't add much regardless, 19th in implied team totals with a 22.8 home opener against Atlanta, so even a won job would pay off through volume rather than shootouts.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Germie Bernard draws praise from HC Mike McCarthy  — \"He's acclimated very well to the offense, can play all three positions, and sticks his nose in there,\" McCarthy said. \"I've been very impressed.\" Bernard is set to step into a bigger role with Roman Wilson week-to-week. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-12T20:41:22+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:45.210835+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "acclimated very well; play all three positions; step into bigger role; roman wilson week-to-week; very impressed",
  "llm_role_change": 1,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 1,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T19:04:25.445724+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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      "draft_adp": {
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  "outcome_readiness": {
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  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
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    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
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    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "13274",
    "name": "Germie Bernard",
    "team": "PIT",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 22,
    "exp": 0,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": true,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 7.18,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "ros_ppg": 7.177111111111112,
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    "adp": 241.4,
    "adp_pr": 86,
    "ly": null,
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      "g": 6,
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      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 1.0,
      "rushing_yards": 4.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 37.0,
      "receptions": 27.0,
      "receiving_yards": 254.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 12.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 17.7,
      "ppg": 7.55,
      "ypc": 4.0,
      "ypt": 6.9,
      "ypr": 9.4,
      "catch_pct": 73.0,
      "total_yd": 258.0,
      "ypg": 43.0,
      "touches": 28.0,
      "first_downs": 12.0,
      "xfp": 44.6,
      "xfp_diff": 0.7,
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    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 61.0,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 3.54,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 5.7,
      "rec_adot": 5.26,
      "rec_air_share": 11.29,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.16,
      "rec_catch_pct": 72.97,
      "rec_drops": 3.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 8.1
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      "llm_role_change": 1,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
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Use this source carefully