FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · ARI

Carson Beck

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:56.337040+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Carson Beck QBARI UnavailableUnavailable1.640

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Model fallback
Forecast captured
Unavailable; no provider capture established
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
None recorded
Weeks using model fallback
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
28
Draft average position
692.7

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Unavailable.

Previous season

Unavailable.

This season: advanced statistics

Unavailable.

Previous season: advanced statistics

Unavailable.

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Arizona still hadn't signed Beck's rookie deal as of late June, the last unsigned member of their class after Kaleb Proctor's contract, though that should resolve by camp. He sits second on the Cardinals depth chart with a consensus projection of about 23 points, so any 2026 relevance runs through an injury ahead of him, and the offense he'd inherit carries an 18.3 average implied total, 32nd by early lines, a hard place to generate fantasy points even with the job. Superflex drafters have him at QB51 around pick 310, a shade cheaper than his QB38 projection rank, which is the closest thing to an argument in his favor. Treat him as a watch-list name whose value will be set by August news rather than anything measurable now.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Carson Beck: Cardinals to discuss moving rookie to active roster — Beck has been the emergency quarterback for Arizona. Gardner Minshew has been the backup behind Jacoby Brissett. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-12T23:11:13+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "moving rookie to active roster; emergency quarterback; backup behind jacoby brissett",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:27.818947+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "absent",
  "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
{
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  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:40:56.337040+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "13272",
    "name": "Carson Beck",
    "team": "ARI",
    "pos": "QB",
    "age": 23,
    "exp": 0,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": true,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 1.64,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 1.6389411764705883,
      "source": "fallback",
      "captured_at": null,
      "covered_weeks": [],
      "missing_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        13,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 28,
    "adp": 692.7,
    "adp_pr": 220,
    "ly": null,
    "adv": null,
    "ytd": null,
    "adv_ytd": null
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "13272",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:40:56.339598+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Arizona still hadn't signed Beck's rookie deal as of late June, the last unsigned member of their class after Kaleb Proctor's contract, though that should resolve by camp. He sits second on the Cardinals depth chart with a consensus projection of about 23 points, so any 2026 relevance runs through an injury ahead of him, and the offense he'd inherit carries an 18.3 average implied total, 32nd by early lines, a hard place to generate fantasy points even with the job. Superflex drafters have him at QB51 around pick 310, a shade cheaper than his QB38 projection rank, which is the closest thing to an argument in his favor. Treat him as a watch-list name whose value will be set by August news rather than anything measurable now.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Carson Beck: Cardinals to discuss moving rookie to active roster — Beck has been the emergency quarterback for Arizona. Gardner Minshew has been the backup behind Jacoby Brissett. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-12T23:11:13+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": 1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
      "llm_severity": 0,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "moving rookie to active roster; emergency quarterback; backup behind jacoby brissett",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:27.818947+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    },
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
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      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}

Use this source carefully