FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · LV

Ashton Jeanty

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:41:30.665511+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Ashton Jeanty RBLV 15714.6174.5

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
232
Draft average position
14.2

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
105
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
106
rushing yards
328
rushing tds
1
targets
44
receptions
34
receiving yards
312
receiving tds
3
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
15
receiving first downs
13
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
17.3
Fantasy points per game
15
Yards per carry
3.1
Yards per target
7.1
Yards per reception
9.2
Catch rate (%)
77.3
Total yards
640
Yards per game
91.4
touches
140
first downs
28
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
125.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-20.7
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
217.6
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
266
rushing yards
975
rushing tds
5
targets
73
receptions
55
receiving yards
346
receiving tds
5
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
46
receiving first downs
14
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
14.8
Fantasy points per game
12.8
Yards per carry
3.7
Yards per target
4.7
Yards per reception
6.3
Catch rate (%)
75.3
Total yards
1,321
Yards per game
77.7
touches
321
first downs
60
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
241.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-22.3
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
69.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
30.19
rush time to los
2.98
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
-0.37
rush efficiency
4.85
rush pct over expected
0.32
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
5
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
1.48
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.61
rush broken tackles
7
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
11.4

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
77.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
16.17
rush time to los
2.83
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
-0.18
rush efficiency
4.12
rush pct over expected
0.35
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
4
rec broken tackles
8
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
1.58
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.09
rush broken tackles
24
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
5.5

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Ashton Jeanty's rookie year is the cleanest rebound argument in the early rounds. His usage was worth 242 expected points, eighth-best at the position, and he scored 24 points fewer, a bottom-decile conversion the charting can explain: 1.58 yards before contact per carry, 7th percentile, which indicts the blocking, while his 24 broken tackles on runs ranked fourth among all backs. Contact found him at the line of scrimmage and he still forced misses at an elite rate. The receiving role was real as well, 73 targets and a 14.8 percent target share, even if it produced only 4.7 yards a target on shallow work. At 11.9 in half-PPR you're paying for the usage and the talent while forgiving the environment, and the forgiveness is the risky part, since Vegas still has the Raiders 28th in early implied totals and the touchdown problem that held him to five rushing scores hasn't obviously been fixed. The projection splits the difference at 247 and RB8. A second-year jump doesn't require him to run any better, only for the blocking in front of him to reach mediocre, and that has historically been the easier thing to get.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Ashton Jeanty (ankle/foot) listed questionable Sunday — Jeanty was not seen at practice on Friday. Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak didn't get into specifics on the foot injury. \"It's that time of year. Guys are getting banged up.\" Jeanty will need to be monitored closer to kickoff. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-09T18:57:13+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-11T09:00:23.208085+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.5,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "ankle foot; listed questionable; not seen at practice; need to be monitored; foot injury",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-11T09:05:05.513123+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "name": "Ashton Jeanty",
    "team": "LV",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 22,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 74.5,
    "ros_ppg": 14.61,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "ros_ppg": 14.612222222222222,
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      "g": 17,
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      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 266.0,
      "rushing_yards": 975.0,
      "rushing_tds": 5.0,
      "targets": 73.0,
      "receptions": 55.0,
      "receiving_yards": 346.0,
      "receiving_tds": 5.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 46.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 14.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 14.8,
      "ppg": 12.8,
      "ypc": 3.7,
      "ypt": 4.7,
      "ypr": 6.3,
      "catch_pct": 75.3,
      "total_yd": 1321.0,
      "ypg": 77.7,
      "touches": 321.0,
      "first_downs": 60.0,
      "xfp": 241.9,
      "xfp_diff": -22.3,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
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    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 77.9,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 16.17,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.83,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.18,
      "rush_efficiency": 4.12,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.35,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 4.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 8.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 1.58,
      "rush_yac_att": 2.09,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 24.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
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      "receiving_yards": 312.0,
      "receiving_tds": 3.0,
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      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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    "writeup": "Ashton Jeanty's rookie year is the cleanest rebound argument in the early rounds. His usage was worth 242 expected points, eighth-best at the position, and he scored 24 points fewer, a bottom-decile conversion the charting can explain: 1.58 yards before contact per carry, 7th percentile, which indicts the blocking, while his 24 broken tackles on runs ranked fourth among all backs. Contact found him at the line of scrimmage and he still forced misses at an elite rate. The receiving role was real as well, 73 targets and a 14.8 percent target share, even if it produced only 4.7 yards a target on shallow work. At 11.9 in half-PPR you're paying for the usage and the talent while forgiving the environment, and the forgiveness is the risky part, since Vegas still has the Raiders 28th in early implied totals and the touchdown problem that held him to five rushing scores hasn't obviously been fixed. The projection splits the difference at 247 and RB8. A second-year jump doesn't require him to run any better, only for the blocking in front of him to reach mediocre, and that has historically been the easier thing to get.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Ashton Jeanty (ankle/foot) listed questionable Sunday — Jeanty was not seen at practice on Friday. Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak didn't get into specifics on the foot injury. \"It's that time of year. Guys are getting banged up.\" Jeanty will need to be monitored closer to kickoff. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-09T18:57:13+00:00",
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      "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
      "llm_severity": 1,
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      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
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      "llm_role_change": 0,
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}

Use this source carefully