Shedeur Sanders

{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12524",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:41:30.481742+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "12524",
    "name": "Shedeur Sanders",
    "team": "CLE",
    "pos": "QB",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 10.16,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 10.155953623699093,
      "source": "sleeper_future+fallback",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        12,
        13,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10
      ],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 100,
    "adp": 682.2,
    "adp_pr": 194,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 84.9,
      "g": 8,
      "through_week": 18,
      "passing_yards": 1400.0,
      "passing_tds": 7.0,
      "interceptions": 10.0,
      "carries": 21.0,
      "rushing_yards": 169.0,
      "rushing_tds": 1.0,
      "targets": 0.0,
      "receptions": 0.0,
      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 54.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 7.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 0.0,
      "ppg": 10.61,
      "ypc": 8.0,
      "ypt": null,
      "ypr": null,
      "catch_pct": null,
      "total_yd": 1569.0,
      "ypg": 196.1,
      "touches": 21.0,
      "first_downs": 7.0,
      "xfp": 13.4,
      "xfp_diff": null,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "partial"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 91.6,
      "pass_time_to_throw": 3.23,
      "pass_adot": 7.15,
      "pass_aggressiveness": 13.21,
      "pass_cpoe": -3.49,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -2.68,
      "pass_rating": 68.12,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": null,
      "rec_broken_tackles": null,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": 39.3,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": 18.6,
      "rec_drop_pct": null
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 0.0,
      "g": 1,
      "through_week": 3,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 0.0,
      "receptions": 0.0,
      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 0.0,
      "ppg": 0.0,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": null,
      "ypr": null,
      "catch_pct": null,
      "total_yd": 0.0,
      "ypg": 0.0,
      "touches": 0.0,
      "first_downs": 0.0
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 1.0,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": null
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "12524",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:41:30.485747+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Cleveland's quarterback battle is technically open, with June reporting that Sanders closed the gap on Deshaun Watson after Watson entered the spring as the clear favorite, and a starter should be named early in camp. The rookie-year data argues for tempering any excitement about him winning it. Sanders held the ball 3.24 seconds on average, longest among all qualified passers, and was pressured on 39.3 percent of dropbacks, also the most in the league, and those two numbers are related in the direction you'd guess. The results were a 68.1 passer rating, last among qualifiers, a CPOE in the 7th percentile, and an average throw 2.7 yards short of the sticks. His 11.9 points per game overstates things too, since a 34.5-point week 14 props it up and his other starts averaged 8.6. Add a Browns offense carrying an 18.4 average implied total, 31st in the league, and the profile offers little beyond name recognition. Around pick 227 (QB30 in half-PPR) the market is paying for the chance he starts, an outcome the consensus projection values at roughly 109 points. Deep 2QB benches can justify that at the price, and in 1QB formats there's no reason to get involved.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Shedeur Sanders expected to be QB2 in Week 1 — Deshaun Watson won the starting QB job for the Browns, and now the team has confirmed the Sanders is going to be active on gamedays and serve as their backup quarterback in Week 1. He won't seen the field in any large capacity for the foreseeable future, barring any injury to Watson.",
      "latest_at": "2026-09-09T16:30:12+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-09-10T10:00:03.254896+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": -1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
      "llm_severity": 0,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "qb2 in week 1; backup quarterback; won the starting qb job; won't see the field; active on gamedays",
      "llm_role_change": -1,
      "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
      "llm_team_context": -1,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-10T10:06:00.583781+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    },
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}