Tory Horton

{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12497",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:41:30.392367+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "12497",
    "name": "Tory Horton",
    "team": "SEA",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 23,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 3.21,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 3.2141111111111114,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        12,
        13,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 79,
    "adp": 260.2,
    "adp_pr": 101,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 52.6,
      "g": 8,
      "through_week": 9,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 22.0,
      "receptions": 13.0,
      "receiving_yards": 161.0,
      "receiving_tds": 5.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 7.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 10.6,
      "ppg": 6.58,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 7.3,
      "ypr": 12.4,
      "catch_pct": 59.1,
      "total_yd": 161.0,
      "ypg": 20.1,
      "touches": 13.0,
      "first_downs": 7.0,
      "xfp": 37.4,
      "xfp_diff": 15.2,
      "xfp_through_week": 9,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 48.1,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 0.0
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 15.2,
      "g": 4,
      "through_week": 7,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 10.0,
      "receptions": 5.0,
      "receiving_yards": 67.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 5.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 7.2,
      "ppg": 3.8,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 6.7,
      "ypr": 13.4,
      "catch_pct": 50.0,
      "total_yd": 67.0,
      "ypg": 16.8,
      "touches": 5.0,
      "first_downs": 5.0,
      "xfp": 13.9,
      "xfp_diff": 1.3,
      "xfp_through_week": 7,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 29.7,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 1.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 10.0
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "12497",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:41:30.395257+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "stale",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Five touchdowns on thirteen catches is the whole Tory Horton story, and it tells you exactly what to fade. His rookie year in Seattle produced 6.6 points per game across eight appearances, a livable number that sat on just 22 targets and a 4.8 percent target share, both bottom-eighth at the position. He beat his usage-based expectation by 15 points, a 1.41 ratio of actual to expected production that almost never repeats, because touchdown rates like that rarely survive a full season. To his credit he didn't drop a single ball, and the consensus pegs him around 80 half-PPR points as WR83, a touch ahead of his WR88 price near pick 218. He carries a questionable tag into camp with no games expected missed. A doubled target share in year two would make him genuinely interesting, while a modest bump leaves him as a touchdown-dependent dart whose scoring dries up the moment the end-zone luck does.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Tory Horton (hamstring) without injury designation for Sunday — There was never much doubt surrounding Horton's availability for Week 2, but he has now received official clearance and will be available to suit up against the Cardinals. Fantasy managers shouldn't have high expectations for him for the foreseeable future, however.",
      "latest_at": "2026-09-19T04:23:12+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-09-20T19:00:23.088530+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": -1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
      "llm_severity": 2,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "hamstring injury; official clearance; available to suit up; high expectations; foreseeable future",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-22T09:22:45.283167+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": null,
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 3.697937500856865,
      "as_of": "2026-10-14",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}