FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · LV

Jack Bech

Read as Markdown · JSON · Interactive board

Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:41:30.844142+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Jack Bech WRLV 6.6522.660

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
52
Draft average position
676.7

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
13.3
Games played
2
Observed through week
2
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
6
receptions
5
receiving yards
48
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
2
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
10.3
Fantasy points per game
6.65
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
8
Yards per reception
9.6
Catch rate (%)
83.3
Total yards
48
Yards per game
24
touches
5
first downs
2
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
7.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
5.4
Opportunity observed through week
2
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
32.4
Games played
14
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
29
receptions
20
receiving yards
224
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
11
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
7.6
Fantasy points per game
2.31
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
7.7
Yards per reception
11.2
Catch rate (%)
69
Total yards
224
Yards per game
16
touches
20
first downs
11
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
35.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-3.4
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
36.7
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
39.8
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.4

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Las Vegas gave Bech very little as a rookie, 29 targets across 14 games on 39.8% of the snaps, good for 32.4 half-PPR points and a rank of 107th at the position. The 2026 projection asks for a real second-year step, 38 catches for 441 yards and WR94, roughly double the rookie output, and the market prices him almost exactly there at WR96, pick 227 in half-PPR. What the projection can't route around is the offense. Betting markets give the Raiders a 19.2 average implied total, 28th in the league, including a 17-point number against the Chargers in week two, and even a doubled role in that environment produces a bench stash rather than a starter. His rookie efficiency was fine, 20 catches on 29 targets and a finish close to his expected points, though a sample that small carries little predictive weight in either direction. Nothing about a 19th-round cost is objectionable, and there's also not much reason beyond an open roster spot to make the pick.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Jack Bech (forearm) expected to be activated Sunday  — Bech been recovering from a fractured forearm. He remains listed as questionable. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-31T19:43:28+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 3,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "expected to be activated; fractured forearm; listed as questionable",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:16:03.449397+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "absent",
  "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12483",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:41:30.844142+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "12483",
    "name": "Jack Bech",
    "team": "LV",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 23,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 2.66,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 2.6603333333333334,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 52,
    "adp": 676.7,
    "adp_pr": 396,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 32.4,
      "g": 14,
      "through_week": 18,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 29.0,
      "receptions": 20.0,
      "receiving_yards": 224.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 11.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 7.6,
      "ppg": 2.31,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 7.7,
      "ypr": 11.2,
      "catch_pct": 69.0,
      "total_yd": 224.0,
      "ypg": 16.0,
      "touches": 20.0,
      "first_downs": 11.0,
      "xfp": 35.8,
      "xfp_diff": -3.4,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 39.8,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 1.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 3.4
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 13.3,
      "g": 2,
      "through_week": 2,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 6.0,
      "receptions": 5.0,
      "receiving_yards": 48.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 2.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 10.3,
      "ppg": 6.65,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 8.0,
      "ypr": 9.6,
      "catch_pct": 83.3,
      "total_yd": 48.0,
      "ypg": 24.0,
      "touches": 5.0,
      "first_downs": 2.0,
      "xfp": 7.9,
      "xfp_diff": 5.4,
      "xfp_through_week": 2,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 36.7,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 0.0
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "12483",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:41:30.846795+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "current",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Las Vegas gave Bech very little as a rookie, 29 targets across 14 games on 39.8% of the snaps, good for 32.4 half-PPR points and a rank of 107th at the position. The 2026 projection asks for a real second-year step, 38 catches for 441 yards and WR94, roughly double the rookie output, and the market prices him almost exactly there at WR96, pick 227 in half-PPR. What the projection can't route around is the offense. Betting markets give the Raiders a 19.2 average implied total, 28th in the league, including a 17-point number against the Chargers in week two, and even a doubled role in that environment produces a bench stash rather than a starter. His rookie efficiency was fine, 20 catches on 29 targets and a finish close to his expected points, though a sample that small carries little predictive weight in either direction. Nothing about a 19th-round cost is objectionable, and there's also not much reason beyond an open roster spot to make the pick.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Jack Bech (forearm) expected to be activated Sunday  — Bech been recovering from a fractured forearm. He remains listed as questionable. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-31T19:43:28+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": 1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
      "llm_severity": 3,
      "llm_weeks_out": 0.0,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "expected to be activated; fractured forearm; listed as questionable",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:16:03.449397+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    },
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}

Use this source carefully