Player sourcebook / WR · LAC
Ladd McConkey
Read as Markdown · JSON · Interactive board
- Season / week
- 2026 / 8
- Scoring
- HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
- Source freshness
- partial
- Observed season stats
- Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.
Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.
- outcomes
- ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7 - season projection
- preseason prior
Captured Unknown - draft adp
- preseason context
Captured Unknown - advanced stats
- coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details
Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.
Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1
Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8
Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:00.817042+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.
Scroll the table to see every column.
| Player | Pos | Team | Observed points/game | Games played | Estimated future points/game | Trade value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 6.5 | 5 | 9.9 | 23.7 |
Future projection context
These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.
- Forecast source
- Captured Sleeper future projections
- Forecast captured
- 2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
- Unstarted games through Week 17
- 10
- Weeks with provider forecasts
- 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
- Weeks using model fallback
- None recorded
Draft context
Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.
- Full-season preseason projection
- 178
- Draft average position
- 38.1
Observed production
Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.
This season
- Fantasy points
- 32.5
- Games played
- 5
- Observed through week
- 6
- passing yards
- 0
- passing tds
- 0
- interceptions
- 0
- carries
- 0
- rushing yards
- 0
- rushing tds
- 0
- targets
- 18
- receptions
- 13
- receiving yards
- 200
- receiving tds
- 1
- passing first downs
- 0
- rushing first downs
- 0
- receiving first downs
- 11
- fumbles lost
- 0
- Target share in observed games (%)
- 11.8
- Fantasy points per game
- 6.5
- Yards per carry
- Unavailable
- Yards per target
- 11.1
- Yards per reception
- 15.4
- Catch rate (%)
- 72.2
- Total yards
- 200
- Yards per game
- 40
- touches
- 13
- first downs
- 11
- Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 28.9
- Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 3.6
- Opportunity observed through week
- 6
- Opportunity coverage
- complete
Previous season
- Fantasy points
- 147.9
- Games played
- 16
- Observed through week
- 17
- passing yards
- 0
- passing tds
- 0
- interceptions
- 0
- carries
- 0
- rushing yards
- 0
- rushing tds
- 0
- targets
- 106
- receptions
- 66
- receiving yards
- 789
- receiving tds
- 6
- passing first downs
- 0
- rushing first downs
- 0
- receiving first downs
- 35
- fumbles lost
- 0
- Target share in observed games (%)
- 20.9
- Fantasy points per game
- 9.24
- Yards per carry
- Unavailable
- Yards per target
- 7.4
- Yards per reception
- 12
- Catch rate (%)
- 62.3
- Total yards
- 789
- Yards per game
- 49.3
- touches
- 66
- first downs
- 35
- Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 153.4
- Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- -5.5
- Opportunity observed through week
- 17
- Opportunity coverage
- complete
This season: advanced statistics
- Snap share (%)
- 45.8
- Time to throw (seconds)
- Unavailable
- Average depth of pass target (yards)
- Unavailable
- pass aggressiveness
- Unavailable
- Completion percentage above expectation
- Unavailable
- pass air to sticks
- Unavailable
- pass rating
- Unavailable
- rush stacked box pct
- Unavailable
- rush time to los
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
- Unavailable
- rush efficiency
- Unavailable
- rush pct over expected
- Unavailable
- rec avg separation
- Unavailable
- rec avg cushion
- Unavailable
- Average depth of receiving target (yards)
- Unavailable
- rec air share
- Unavailable
- Receiving yards after catch above expectation
- Unavailable
- rec catch pct
- Unavailable
- rec drops
- 1
- rec broken tackles
- 0
- Rushing yards before contact per attempt
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards after contact per attempt
- Unavailable
- rush broken tackles
- Unavailable
- pass pressured pct
- Unavailable
- pass bad throw pct
- Unavailable
- rec drop pct
- 5.6
Previous season: advanced statistics
- Snap share (%)
- 77.5
- Time to throw (seconds)
- Unavailable
- Average depth of pass target (yards)
- Unavailable
- pass aggressiveness
- Unavailable
- Completion percentage above expectation
- Unavailable
- pass air to sticks
- Unavailable
- pass rating
- Unavailable
- rush stacked box pct
- Unavailable
- rush time to los
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
- Unavailable
- rush efficiency
- Unavailable
- rush pct over expected
- Unavailable
- rec avg separation
- 3.27
- rec avg cushion
- 5.82
- Average depth of receiving target (yards)
- 9.93
- rec air share
- 23.85
- Receiving yards after catch above expectation
- 1.1
- rec catch pct
- 62.26
- rec drops
- 6
- rec broken tackles
- 5
- Rushing yards before contact per attempt
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards after contact per attempt
- Unavailable
- rush broken tackles
- Unavailable
- pass pressured pct
- Unavailable
- pass bad throw pct
- Unavailable
- rec drop pct
- 5.7
Player narrative and news
Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.
Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00
Latest stored news context
{
"digest": "Ladd McConkey (concussion) off injury report Sunday — McConkey has been able to clear the concussion protocol. It has been a rough season injury wise for him. He remains a WR2 when he is healthy. ",
"latest_at": "2026-10-30T20:42:27+00:00",
"updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
"llm_sentiment": 1,
"llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
"llm_severity": 1,
"llm_weeks_out": null,
"llm_offfield_risk": 0,
"llm_key_phrases": "cleared concussion protocol; rough season injury; remains wr2; off injury report",
"llm_role_change": 0,
"llm_usage_outlook": 0,
"llm_team_context": 0,
"llm_relevance": 0.9,
"llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:08:52.387559+00:00",
"llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
"inference_status": "current"
}Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}
Complete source evidence
{
"schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
"canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11635",
"retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:38:00.817042+00:00",
"season": 2026,
"week": 8,
"last_season": 2025,
"fmt": "half",
"teams": 12,
"qb": 1,
"mode": "inseason",
"data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
"model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
"generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
"freshness": {
"status": "partial",
"expected_season": 2026,
"served_season": 2026,
"expected_week": 8,
"warnings": [],
"sources": {
"outcomes": {
"status": "ready",
"captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
"completed_through_week": 7
},
"season_projection": {
"status": "preseason_prior",
"captured_at": null
},
"draft_adp": {
"status": "preseason_context",
"captured_at": null
},
"advanced_stats": {
"status": "coverage_not_verified",
"captured_at": null
}
},
"note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
},
"outcome_readiness": {
"completed_week": 7,
"fresh": true,
"checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
"status": "ready"
},
"valuation_context": {
"phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
"fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
"fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
"advanced_stats_priced": false,
"injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
"remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
},
"value_locked": null,
"ytd_through_week": 8,
"ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
"sources": [
{
"name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
"url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
}
],
"limitations": [
"Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
"generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
"Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
"Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
"League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
],
"metric_definitions": {
"proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
"adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
"ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
"tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
"ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
"projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
"value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
"xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
"xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
},
"access": {
"public": true,
"pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
"connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
},
"player": {
"sleeper_id": "11635",
"name": "Ladd McConkey",
"team": "LAC",
"pos": "WR",
"age": 24,
"exp": 2,
"injury": null,
"rookie": false,
"value": 23.7,
"ros_ppg": 9.9,
"games_left": 10,
"projection": {
"ros_ppg": 9.9014,
"source": "sleeper_future",
"captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
"covered_weeks": [
8,
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17
],
"missing_weeks": [],
"remaining_games": 10
},
"proj": 178,
"adp": 38.1,
"adp_pr": 16,
"ly": {
"pts": 147.9,
"g": 16,
"through_week": 17,
"passing_yards": 0.0,
"passing_tds": 0.0,
"interceptions": 0.0,
"carries": 0.0,
"rushing_yards": 0.0,
"rushing_tds": 0.0,
"targets": 106.0,
"receptions": 66.0,
"receiving_yards": 789.0,
"receiving_tds": 6.0,
"passing_first_downs": 0.0,
"rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
"receiving_first_downs": 35.0,
"fumbles_lost": 0.0,
"tgt_share": 20.9,
"ppg": 9.24,
"ypc": null,
"ypt": 7.4,
"ypr": 12.0,
"catch_pct": 62.3,
"total_yd": 789.0,
"ypg": 49.3,
"touches": 66.0,
"first_downs": 35.0,
"xfp": 153.4,
"xfp_diff": -5.5,
"xfp_through_week": 17,
"xfp_coverage": "complete"
},
"adv": {
"snap_pct": 77.5,
"pass_time_to_throw": null,
"pass_adot": null,
"pass_aggressiveness": null,
"pass_cpoe": null,
"pass_air_to_sticks": null,
"pass_rating": null,
"rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
"rush_time_to_los": null,
"rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
"rush_efficiency": null,
"rush_pct_over_expected": null,
"rec_avg_separation": 3.27,
"rec_avg_cushion": 5.82,
"rec_adot": 9.93,
"rec_air_share": 23.85,
"rec_yac_above_exp": 1.1,
"rec_catch_pct": 62.26,
"rec_drops": 6.0,
"rec_broken_tackles": 5.0,
"rush_ybc_att": null,
"rush_yac_att": null,
"rush_broken_tackles": null,
"pass_pressured_pct": null,
"pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
"rec_drop_pct": 5.7
},
"ytd": {
"pts": 32.5,
"g": 5,
"through_week": 6,
"passing_yards": 0.0,
"passing_tds": 0.0,
"interceptions": 0.0,
"carries": 0.0,
"rushing_yards": 0.0,
"rushing_tds": 0.0,
"targets": 18.0,
"receptions": 13.0,
"receiving_yards": 200.0,
"receiving_tds": 1.0,
"passing_first_downs": 0.0,
"rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
"receiving_first_downs": 11.0,
"fumbles_lost": 0.0,
"tgt_share": 11.8,
"ppg": 6.5,
"ypc": null,
"ypt": 11.1,
"ypr": 15.4,
"catch_pct": 72.2,
"total_yd": 200.0,
"ypg": 40.0,
"touches": 13.0,
"first_downs": 11.0,
"xfp": 28.9,
"xfp_diff": 3.6,
"xfp_through_week": 6,
"xfp_coverage": "complete"
},
"adv_ytd": {
"snap_pct": 45.8,
"pass_time_to_throw": null,
"pass_adot": null,
"pass_aggressiveness": null,
"pass_cpoe": null,
"pass_air_to_sticks": null,
"pass_rating": null,
"rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
"rush_time_to_los": null,
"rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
"rush_efficiency": null,
"rush_pct_over_expected": null,
"rec_avg_separation": null,
"rec_avg_cushion": null,
"rec_adot": null,
"rec_air_share": null,
"rec_yac_above_exp": null,
"rec_catch_pct": null,
"rec_drops": 1.0,
"rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
"rush_ybc_att": null,
"rush_yac_att": null,
"rush_broken_tackles": null,
"pass_pressured_pct": null,
"pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
"rec_drop_pct": 5.6
}
},
"profile": {
"sleeper_id": "11635",
"season": 2026,
"as_of": "2026-11-01T01:38:00.901341+00:00",
"freshness": {
"writeup": "preseason_context",
"news": "current",
"news_inference": "current",
"injury_outlook": "stale",
"note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
},
"writeup": "Half-PPR drafters are holding McConkey at WR17, pick 41, while the consensus projection slots him WR25 with 174 points, a two-tier premium over the forecast. His 2025 supports the faith better than the box score does. The 9.2 points a game came on 106 targets and a 19.7 percent share, and his scoring landed within six points of what that usage predicted, so there is no bad-luck rebound baked in. The skill signals stayed sharp: 1.01 YAC over expected per reception (82nd percentile), 3.26 yards of average separation (79th), and five broken tackles after the catch, a 90th-percentile figure. What lagged was payoff per look, 7.4 yards a target down in the 36th percentile. The Chargers open as 11.5-point home favorites against Arizona with a mid-pack implied-total profile overall, and his questionable tag currently comes with no games expected missed. Paying the premium is a bet that the target quality improves around route-running that never went anywhere, with a healthy offseason and another year of rapport carrying the thesis.",
"writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
"news": {
"digest": "Ladd McConkey (concussion) off injury report Sunday — McConkey has been able to clear the concussion protocol. It has been a rough season injury wise for him. He remains a WR2 when he is healthy. ",
"latest_at": "2026-10-30T20:42:27+00:00",
"updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
"llm_sentiment": 1,
"llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
"llm_severity": 1,
"llm_weeks_out": null,
"llm_offfield_risk": 0,
"llm_key_phrases": "cleared concussion protocol; rough season injury; remains wr2; off injury report",
"llm_role_change": 0,
"llm_usage_outlook": 0,
"llm_team_context": 0,
"llm_relevance": 0.9,
"llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:08:52.387559+00:00",
"llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
"inference_status": "current"
},
"injury_outlook": null,
"injury_outlook_last_captured": {
"status": "questionable",
"exp_miss_next6": 2.157182798348736,
"as_of": "2026-10-14",
"source": "curves-v1"
}
}
}Use this source carefully
- Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.
- generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.
- Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.
- Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.
- League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring.