Brian Thomas Jr.

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    "sleeper_id": "11631",
    "name": "Brian Thomas Jr.",
    "team": "JAX",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 2,
    "injury": null,
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      "carries": 3.0,
      "rushing_yards": 21.0,
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      "targets": 91.0,
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      "receiving_yards": 707.0,
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      "receiving_first_downs": 33.0,
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      "ppg": 3.5,
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      "touches": 9.0,
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      "rec_avg_separation": 2.79,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 6.94,
      "rec_adot": 14.2,
      "rec_air_share": 18.24,
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    "writeup": "A 28-point gap between what Brian Thomas earned and what he scored is the story of his 2025. The usage was legitimate, 91 targets at a 14.2-yard aDOT in the 93rd percentile with a 69th-percentile target share, and the expected-points model valued that work at 143. He delivered 115, a shortfall in the 9th percentile of usage conversion among qualified receivers, dragged down by ten drops at an 11 percent rate, second worst in the qualified pool, a 52.7 percent catch rate, and two touchdowns all year. Gaps that large usually close, and the offseason reporting helps the case, with Lawrence acknowledging the two weren't always on the same page last season and both sides describing real progress this summer while the trade rumors around Thomas have died down. The complication is that drafters have already paid for the rebound. His half-PPR ADP of 66, WR31 off the board, runs eight spots ahead of his WR39 consensus projection, so the market price assumes the drops were a one-year glitch from a 23-year-old rather than a trait. That's a plausible bet, and the deep role gives it a high ceiling, but you're buying the recovery at face value instead of at a discount.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Brian Thomas Jr. quiet in blowout win Sunday — Thomas was a complete non-factor on Sunday. He caught just one pass over the course of the afternoon, and he was only able to turn that into eight yards on a day that Jacksonville's offense had no trouble scoring and moving the ball. He still has some potential given his talent, but he hasn't been productive for a while and shouldn't be started for the foreseeable future.",
      "latest_at": "2026-09-28T16:26:14+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-09-29T19:00:23.129722+00:00",
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