FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · NE

Drake Maye

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:15.534867+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Drake Maye QBNE 19.5719.5347.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
311
Draft average position
51.2

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
136.5
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
1,784
passing tds
13
interceptions
8
carries
38
rushing yards
211
rushing tds
2
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
80
rushing first downs
16
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
19.5
Yards per carry
5.6
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
1,995
Yards per game
285
touches
38
first downs
16
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
21.5
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
11.6
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
347.5
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
4,394
passing tds
31
interceptions
8
carries
103
rushing yards
450
rushing tds
4
targets
1
receptions
1
receiving yards
2
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
204
rushing first downs
41
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
3
Target share in observed games (%)
0.2
Fantasy points per game
20.44
Yards per carry
4.4
Yards per target
2
Yards per reception
2
Catch rate (%)
100
Total yards
4,846
Yards per game
285.1
touches
104
first downs
41
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
58.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
11
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
97.3
Time to throw (seconds)
3.11
Average depth of pass target (yards)
9.54
pass aggressiveness
12.62
Completion percentage above expectation
3.58
pass air to sticks
0.38
pass rating
96.4
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
23.8
pass bad throw pct
11.7
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
95.8
Time to throw (seconds)
2.97
Average depth of pass target (yards)
9.11
pass aggressiveness
17.89
Completion percentage above expectation
9.03
pass air to sticks
0.22
pass rating
113.48
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
3.59
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.17
rush broken tackles
4
pass pressured pct
21.1
pass bad throw pct
14.5
rec drop pct
0

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

No quarterback charted better than Maye in 2025 on the two measures that are hardest to fake at the same time. He led the position in CPOE at 9.14 while throwing deep, with an 88th percentile aDOT and an 87th percentile aggressiveness rate, meaning he completed far more than expected on precisely the throws where completion is least likely. The league-best 113.5 passer rating follows from that. Volume matched the quality, with a position-leading 4,846 total yards, 450 of them on the ground, a full 17 games, and a QB3 points finish at 20.9 a game. His fifth-round ADP as the market's QB3, with the consensus projection a spot higher at QB2, is one of the few early quarterback prices where the underlying data carries the full cost. The soft spot is environment, since New England sits fifteenth in average implied team total on early lines, so Vegas is not yet treating this offense like a top unit. Accuracy at depth tends to be the stickiest skill a young quarterback can show, and at 23 he just posted the best such season in this data.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Drake Maye (shoulder) off injury report for Sunday — Maye was dealing with a minor shoulder injury throughout the week, but it's not a big deal currently and he will carry no injury designation heading into the weekend. He isn't startable in most fantasy leagues at this point in the season, but this would be a good week for him to bounce back from his rough start against a struggling Buffalo defense.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-02T19:19:30+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-04T09:00:46.266132+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "minor shoulder injury; off injury report; no injury designation; good week to bounce back; not startable",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-04T09:22:45.776943+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "team": "NE",
    "pos": "QB",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 2,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 47.9,
    "ros_ppg": 19.53,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "carries": 103.0,
      "rushing_yards": 450.0,
      "rushing_tds": 4.0,
      "targets": 1.0,
      "receptions": 1.0,
      "receiving_yards": 2.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 204.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 41.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 3.0,
      "tgt_share": 0.2,
      "ppg": 20.44,
      "ypc": 4.4,
      "ypt": 2.0,
      "ypr": 2.0,
      "catch_pct": 100.0,
      "total_yd": 4846.0,
      "ypg": 285.1,
      "touches": 104.0,
      "first_downs": 41.0,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": 2.97,
      "pass_adot": 9.11,
      "pass_aggressiveness": 17.89,
      "pass_cpoe": 9.03,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": 0.22,
      "pass_rating": 113.48,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
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      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 3.59,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.17,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 4.0,
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      "pass_bad_throw_pct": 14.5,
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      "digest": "Drake Maye (shoulder) off injury report for Sunday — Maye was dealing with a minor shoulder injury throughout the week, but it's not a big deal currently and he will carry no injury designation heading into the weekend. He isn't startable in most fantasy leagues at this point in the season, but this would be a good week for him to bounce back from his rough start against a struggling Buffalo defense.",
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      "llm_role_change": 0,
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Use this source carefully