# FootballQuants research reports

Dated research snapshots, not current player recommendations.

## The pick-110 question: what a kicker and D/ST are actually worth

Published 2026-09-04. https://footballquants.com/sources/reports/kicker-defense-draft-value

Seven seasons of preseason forecasts and four seasons of real waiver wires point to different draft strategies for kicker and defense—but the same final-roster point accounting as every other position. Defense is mostly a late, streamable slot; elite kicker retains some preseason signal.

## The 2026 standard draft: a stampede, a tar pit, and free quarterbacks

Published 2026-08-10. https://footballquants.com/sources/reports/std-2026-draft-trends

We lined up the 2026 consensus projections against where players are actually going in standard-scoring drafts, with last season’s touches and touchdowns underneath. Drafting running backs early is right, most of the RB picks in rounds four through eight are not, and quarterback is close to free.

## The two-high decade: how defenses bent football, and fantasy bent with it

Published 2026-07-20. https://footballquants.com/sources/reports/the-two-high-decade

We formed a hypothesis about why passing keeps shrinking, checked it against league tracking data and ten seasons of our own play-by-play, and followed the consequences into fantasy scoring. The meta moved, and it is about to move again.

## Where the fantasy edge went: four seasons of data

Published 2026-07-19. https://footballquants.com/sources/reports/where-the-edge-went

We replayed projection-following lineups against real managers from 2022 through 2025, profiled the most disciplined drafters we could find, and measured a projection bias that shows up every single season.