{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9508","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:15.957264+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9508","name":"Tyjae Spears","team":"TEN","pos":"RB","age":25,"exp":3,"injury":"Out","rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":6.1,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":6.099655038656469,"source":"sleeper_future+fallback","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[8],"remaining_games":9},"proj":115,"adp":170.3,"adp_pr":54,"ly":{"pts":89.2,"g":13,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":72.0,"rushing_yards":283.0,"rushing_tds":2.0,"targets":50.0,"receptions":45.0,"receiving_yards":264.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":17.0,"receiving_first_downs":10.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":12.0,"ppg":6.86,"ypc":3.9,"ypt":5.3,"ypr":5.9,"catch_pct":90.0,"total_yd":547.0,"ypg":42.1,"touches":117.0,"first_downs":27.0,"xfp":94.6,"xfp_diff":-5.4,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":45.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":10.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.58,"rush_yac_att":1.35,"rush_broken_tackles":4.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":4.0},"ytd":{"pts":19.6,"g":6,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":18.0,"rushing_yards":66.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":17.0,"receptions":15.0,"receiving_yards":75.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":3.0,"receiving_first_downs":3.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":10.3,"ppg":3.27,"ypc":3.7,"ypt":4.4,"ypr":5.0,"catch_pct":88.2,"total_yd":141.0,"ypg":23.5,"touches":33.0,"first_downs":6.0,"xfp":26.0,"xfp_diff":-4.4,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":41.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9508","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:15.982581+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"current","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Spears caught 45 of his 50 targets last season, a 90 percent catch rate that led all qualified backs, and his target share reached the 82nd percentile. What those catches were is the catch: 5.9 yards per reception, 10th percentile, almost entirely checkdown volume. He did break ten tackles on receptions, a 98th-percentile count, so something real happens once the ball is in his hands. His ground numbers run stranger than the receiving ones. Tennessee blocked adequately for him, 2.58 yards before contact per carry in the 66th percentile, and he added just 1.35 after contact, 2nd percentile, a hard pairing for a back who sheds tacklers in space. The projection likes him more than the market, 113.5 points and RB42 against an RB49 half-PPR price, with the same shape of gap in standard. Tennessee's offense drags on everything, 27th by implied totals, which caps the touchdown math. As a bench back with a reception floor in the 13th round he's sensibly priced, and full-point leagues are where the profile pays best.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Tyjae Spears (knee) ruled out Sunday  — Spears missed practice all week. Tony Pollard will remain in a workhorse role. ","latest_at":"2026-10-30T20:51:04+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":1.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"ruled out sunday; missed practice all week; knee injury; workhorse role","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-31T23:06:32.841404+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":3.440915580938783,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":3.440915580938783,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}