# Sean Tucker — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9506 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9506", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:01.107927+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "9506", "name": "Sean Tucker", "team": "TB", "pos": "RB", "age": 25, "exp": 3, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 1.24, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 1.2394444444444446, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 31, "adp": 249.2, "adp_pr": 72, "ly": { "pts": 87.4, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 86.0, "rushing_yards": 320.0, "rushing_tds": 7.0, "targets": 11.0, "receptions": 8.0, "receiving_yards": 34.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 22.0, "receiving_first_downs": 1.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 2.0, "ppg": 5.14, "ypc": 3.7, "ypt": 3.1, "ypr": 4.2, "catch_pct": 72.7, "total_yd": 354.0, "ypg": 20.8, "touches": 94.0, "first_downs": 23.0, "xfp": 84.4, "xfp_diff": 3.0, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 15.8, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.76, "rush_yac_att": 0.97, "rush_broken_tackles": 5.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 9.1 }, "ytd": { "pts": 20.0, "g": 3, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 15.0, "rushing_yards": 80.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 4.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 6.67, "ypc": 5.3, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 80.0, "ypg": 26.7, "touches": 15.0, "first_downs": 4.0, "xfp": 14.5, "xfp_diff": 5.5, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 6.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": null } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "9506", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:01.112249+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Seven rushing touchdowns propped up Tucker's entire 2025 line. Take the scores away and what remains is 86 carries at 3.7 a clip, a weekly median of 1.4 points, and the worst yards-after-contact figure among qualified backs, 0.97 per carry against a healthy 2.76 before contact, a split that credits Tampa's blocking for most of what happened. One 33-point week in November supplied a big share of the season total by itself. Consensus reads the touchdown rate as luck and projects 29.9 points, RB86, with essentially no receiving work, half a projected catch all year. Standard drafters nevertheless take him at RB61, pick 154, a full 25 ranks ahead of that projection, presumably remembering the touchdowns and the big week rather than the profile underneath them. Tampa's offense is respectable, 13th by implied totals, and he did run slightly ahead of his expected points, so short-yardage gravity may be a real if narrow skill. Touchdown rates like that rarely survive without better underlying rushing though, and his sat at the 17th percentile in yards per carry, which leaves the standard price resting on the memory of those scores rather than on anything in the usage.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Sean Tucker (hamstring) available to play for Sunday — As expected, Tucker is back near full health and is going to be available to play against the Browns on Sunday. He is expected to be squarely behind Bucky Irving and Kenny Gainwell in the team's pecking order, however, making him irrelevant for fantasy purposes.", "latest_at": "2026-09-18T20:14:44+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-20T09:00:23.868310+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 1, "llm_severity": 2, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "available to play; near full health; squarely behind; irrelevant for fantasy; hamstring", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-20T09:05:54.317607+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535, "as_of": "2026-10-05", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```