# Tucker Kraft — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9484 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9484", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:23:36.739763+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "9484", "name": "Tucker Kraft", "team": "GB", "pos": "TE", "age": 25, "exp": 3, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 18.9, "ros_ppg": 9.02, "games_left": 8, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 9.01575, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 8 }, "proj": 144, "adp": 65.9, "adp_pr": 6, "ly": { "pts": 101.2, "g": 8, "through_week": 9, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 1.0, "rushing_yards": 3.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 44.0, "receptions": 32.0, "receiving_yards": 489.0, "receiving_tds": 6.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 22.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 18.8, "ppg": 12.65, "ypc": 3.0, "ypt": 11.1, "ypr": 15.3, "catch_pct": 72.7, "total_yd": 492.0, "ypg": 61.5, "touches": 33.0, "first_downs": 22.0, "xfp": 55.6, "xfp_diff": 45.6, "xfp_through_week": 9, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 86.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 3.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 6.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 6.8 }, "ytd": { "pts": 71.0, "g": 8, "through_week": 8, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 2.0, "rushing_yards": 5.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 49.0, "receptions": 35.0, "receiving_yards": 350.0, "receiving_tds": 3.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 2.0, "receiving_first_downs": 18.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 16.2, "ppg": 8.88, "ypc": 2.5, "ypt": 7.1, "ypr": 10.0, "catch_pct": 71.4, "total_yd": 355.0, "ypg": 44.4, "touches": 37.0, "first_downs": 20.0, "xfp": 69.4, "xfp_diff": 1.6, "xfp_through_week": 8, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 82.8, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.38, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.17, "rec_adot": 5.52, "rec_air_share": 9.47, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.56, "rec_catch_pct": 71.43, "rec_drops": 5.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 10.2 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "9484", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:23:36.742478+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Green Bay got a spectacular eight games from Kraft before the knee injury: 12.7 points a game, second among tight ends, built on 15.3 yards a catch (first at the position), 11.1 yards a target (second), and six broken tackles on receptions (95th percentile). How little usage sat underneath is the uncomfortable part. His opportunity was worth 55.6 expected points and he scored 101.2, a 1.82 ratio that was the largest overshoot among qualified tight ends, on 5.5 targets a game and a 9.8 percent target share. Six touchdowns on 32 catches did a lot of that work, and a 6.8 percent drop rate says the ball wasn't always handled cleanly on the way. The health news trends the right way, he's reportedly on track for Week 1 while working toward an extension, and Green Bay ranks 11th by implied team totals. The price is the sticking point: the market takes him at 68 overall as the TE6 while the projection has him TE10 at 139 points, so drafting him there is a bet on the efficiency rather than the workload, and overshoots near 1.82x rarely survive a second look from the regression gods.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Tucker Kraft signs four year, $75 million deal with Packers — Kraft was on his way to a massive season in 2025 before going down with a torn ACL. He gets his payday as the Packers lock in their emergeing star for the long haul.", "latest_at": "2026-09-12T15:07:29+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-13T10:00:02.666547+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 3, "llm_weeks_out": 18.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "signs four year; torn acl; massive season; lock in; emergeing star", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-15T19:22:05.853175+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": null, "as_of": "2026-09-09", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```