{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9484","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:44.795597+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9484","name":"Tucker Kraft","team":"GB","pos":"TE","age":25,"exp":3,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":18.9,"ros_ppg":9.02,"games_left":8,"projection":{"ros_ppg":9.01575,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":8},"proj":144,"adp":65.9,"adp_pr":6,"ly":{"pts":101.2,"g":8,"through_week":9,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":3.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":44.0,"receptions":32.0,"receiving_yards":489.0,"receiving_tds":6.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":22.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":18.8,"ppg":12.65,"ypc":3.0,"ypt":11.1,"ypr":15.3,"catch_pct":72.7,"total_yd":492.0,"ypg":61.5,"touches":33.0,"first_downs":22.0,"xfp":55.6,"xfp_diff":45.6,"xfp_through_week":9,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":86.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":6.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.8},"ytd":{"pts":71.0,"g":8,"through_week":8,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":2.0,"rushing_yards":5.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":49.0,"receptions":35.0,"receiving_yards":350.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":2.0,"receiving_first_downs":18.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":16.2,"ppg":8.88,"ypc":2.5,"ypt":7.1,"ypr":10.0,"catch_pct":71.4,"total_yd":355.0,"ypg":44.4,"touches":37.0,"first_downs":20.0,"xfp":69.4,"xfp_diff":1.6,"xfp_through_week":8,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":82.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.38,"rec_avg_cushion":5.17,"rec_adot":5.52,"rec_air_share":9.47,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.56,"rec_catch_pct":71.43,"rec_drops":5.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":10.2}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9484","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:44.799084+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Green Bay got a spectacular eight games from Kraft before the knee injury: 12.7 points a game, second among tight ends, built on 15.3 yards a catch (first at the position), 11.1 yards a target (second), and six broken tackles on receptions (95th percentile). How little usage sat underneath is the uncomfortable part. His opportunity was worth 55.6 expected points and he scored 101.2, a 1.82 ratio that was the largest overshoot among qualified tight ends, on 5.5 targets a game and a 9.8 percent target share. Six touchdowns on 32 catches did a lot of that work, and a 6.8 percent drop rate says the ball wasn't always handled cleanly on the way. The health news trends the right way, he's reportedly on track for Week 1 while working toward an extension, and Green Bay ranks 11th by implied team totals. The price is the sticking point: the market takes him at 68 overall as the TE6 while the projection has him TE10 at 139 points, so drafting him there is a bet on the efficiency rather than the workload, and overshoots near 1.82x rarely survive a second look from the regression gods.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Tucker Kraft signs four year, $75 million deal with Packers — Kraft was on his way to a massive season in 2025 before going down with a torn ACL. He gets his payday as the Packers lock in their emergeing star for the long haul.","latest_at":"2026-09-12T15:07:29+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-13T10:00:02.666547+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":3,"llm_weeks_out":18.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"signs four year; torn acl; massive season; lock in; emergeing star","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-15T19:22:05.853175+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-09-09","source":"curves-v1"}}}