{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9482","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:13.743939+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9482","name":"Michael Mayer","team":"LV","pos":"TE","age":25,"exp":3,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":5.74,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":5.741555555555556,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":70,"adp":695.9,"adp_pr":247,"ly":{"pts":56.3,"g":13,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":50.0,"receptions":35.0,"receiving_yards":328.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":18.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":12.9,"ppg":4.33,"ypc":null,"ypt":6.6,"ypr":9.4,"catch_pct":70.0,"total_yd":328.0,"ypg":25.2,"touches":35.0,"first_downs":18.0,"xfp":60.7,"xfp_diff":-4.4,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":61.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.35,"rec_avg_cushion":5.95,"rec_adot":4.39,"rec_air_share":6.72,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.32,"rec_catch_pct":70.0,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.0},"ytd":{"pts":51.3,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":37.0,"receptions":31.0,"receiving_yards":298.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":20.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":14.6,"ppg":7.33,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.1,"ypr":9.6,"catch_pct":83.8,"total_yd":298.0,"ypg":42.6,"touches":31.0,"first_downs":20.0,"xfp":44.3,"xfp_diff":7.0,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":80.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.27,"rec_avg_cushion":4.89,"rec_adot":5.22,"rec_air_share":9.09,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.39,"rec_catch_pct":83.78,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.7}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9482","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:13.835848+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Michael Mayer's target profile is about as shallow as they come, a 4.4 aDOT and a 6.7 percent air-yards share, both bottom-ten-percent marks among qualified tight ends. He still commanded 50 targets in 13 games, a 10.1 percent share, and caught 70 percent of them, the classic outlet arrangement of short, steady, and capped. Even the steadiness needs an asterisk, since two weeks supplied nearly half of his 56 points. Oddly enough the projection sits well above his market price, 40 catches and about 70 points at TE35 against a half-PPR ADP of 344, TE45, though the Raiders' 19.2 implied total, 28th in the league, limits what checkdown volume can be worth wherever the targets land. Full-point-PPR formats are the one place this profile earns its keep, and even there he's listed second on the depth chart and needs that to break his way.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Michael Mayer hauls in six receptions in Week 1 win — Mayer took advantage of the absence of No. 1 tight end Brock Bowers, leading the team in targets in the win. The tight end remains a steady option as long as Bowers remains sidelined for fantasy managers, with a Week 2 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers ahead.","latest_at":"2026-09-14T15:23:44+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:00:03.130918+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"six receptions; absence of brock bowers; leading the team; steady option; week 2 matchup","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":1,"llm_team_context":1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-15T10:12:39.281727+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}