{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9480","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:48.727064+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9480","name":"Brenton Strange","team":"JAX","pos":"TE","age":25,"exp":3,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":23.6,"ros_ppg":9.01,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":9.0149,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":122,"adp":166.6,"adp_pr":18,"ly":{"pts":95.0,"g":12,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":60.0,"receptions":46.0,"receiving_yards":540.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":28.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":15.8,"ppg":7.92,"ypc":null,"ypt":9.0,"ypr":11.7,"catch_pct":76.7,"total_yd":540.0,"ypg":45.0,"touches":46.0,"first_downs":28.0,"xfp":77.6,"xfp_diff":17.4,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":74.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.89,"rec_avg_cushion":6.62,"rec_adot":6.58,"rec_air_share":8.06,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.11,"rec_catch_pct":76.67,"rec_drops":4.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.7},"ytd":{"pts":46.9,"g":6,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":33.0,"receptions":26.0,"receiving_yards":279.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":14.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":18.5,"ppg":7.82,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.5,"ypr":10.7,"catch_pct":78.8,"total_yd":279.0,"ypg":46.5,"touches":26.0,"first_downs":14.0,"xfp":42.7,"xfp_diff":4.2,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":78.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.09,"rec_avg_cushion":7.34,"rec_adot":7.65,"rec_air_share":16.22,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.24,"rec_catch_pct":78.79,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.1}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9480","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:48.747632+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Jacksonville just committed to Brenton Strange with a three-year extension worth up to 48 million dollars, 25 million of it guaranteed, which settles who leads that room even with younger tight ends competing for snaps behind him. The 2025 charting shows what the front office saw: he posted 9.0 yards per target (84th percentile) and the position's best open-field numbers, with 94th-percentile separation and cushion, so defenses gave him room and Trevor Lawrence used it. Market and projection agree on him almost exactly, TE18 at a 128 half-PPR ADP against a TE18 projection, so the pick buys contract security and a five-targets-a-game floor at sticker price. Two caveats ride along with that: his air-yards share sat in the 23rd percentile, meaning the role lives underneath, and his minus-0.23 YAC over expected says he adds little once the ball arrives, an odd pairing with all the space defenses concede him. He also outscored what his usage predicted by 17 points in only 12 games, efficiency that usually cools, so the healthy-season argument has to carry more of the load than the per-target numbers do.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Brenton Strange catches three passes Sunday — Strange was a solid contributor for the Jaguars on Sunday, hauling in three passes en route to a big win over the Patriots. Still, he isn't a strong fantasy option and shouldn't be considered startable for the foreseeable future.","latest_at":"2026-09-28T16:30:20+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-29T19:00:23.129722+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"catches three passes; solid contributor; not strong fantasy option; shouldn't be considered startable","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-29T19:04:59.810710+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}