# Bryce Young — FootballQuants player source

Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9228

Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes.

```json
{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9228",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.117136+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "9228",
    "name": "Bryce Young",
    "team": "CAR",
    "pos": "QB",
    "age": 25,
    "exp": 3,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 28.9,
    "ros_ppg": 17.42,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 17.422733333333337,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        13,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 244,
    "adp": 234.6,
    "adp_pr": 27,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 216.0,
      "g": 16,
      "through_week": 18,
      "passing_yards": 3011.0,
      "passing_tds": 23.0,
      "interceptions": 11.0,
      "carries": 54.0,
      "rushing_yards": 216.0,
      "rushing_tds": 2.0,
      "targets": 0.0,
      "receptions": 0.0,
      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 153.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 19.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 4.0,
      "tgt_share": 0.0,
      "ppg": 13.5,
      "ypc": 4.0,
      "ypt": null,
      "ypr": null,
      "catch_pct": null,
      "total_yd": 3227.0,
      "ypg": 201.7,
      "touches": 54.0,
      "first_downs": 19.0,
      "xfp": 25.3,
      "xfp_diff": null,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "partial"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 96.8,
      "pass_time_to_throw": 2.83,
      "pass_adot": 6.94,
      "pass_aggressiveness": 12.13,
      "pass_cpoe": -0.3,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -1.53,
      "pass_rating": 87.78,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": null,
      "rec_broken_tackles": null,
      "rush_ybc_att": 3.53,
      "rush_yac_att": 0.68,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 2.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": 24.3,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": 17.5,
      "rec_drop_pct": null
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 126.2,
      "g": 7,
      "through_week": 8,
      "passing_yards": 1921.0,
      "passing_tds": 13.0,
      "interceptions": 5.0,
      "carries": 10.0,
      "rushing_yards": 34.0,
      "rushing_tds": 1.0,
      "targets": 0.0,
      "receptions": 0.0,
      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 91.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 3.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 0.0,
      "ppg": 18.03,
      "ypc": 3.4,
      "ypt": null,
      "ypr": null,
      "catch_pct": null,
      "total_yd": 1955.0,
      "ypg": 279.3,
      "touches": 10.0,
      "first_downs": 3.0,
      "xfp": 4.3,
      "xfp_diff": 5.1,
      "xfp_through_week": 7,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 94.4,
      "pass_time_to_throw": 2.86,
      "pass_adot": 8.71,
      "pass_aggressiveness": 13.38,
      "pass_cpoe": -0.03,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -0.49,
      "pass_rating": 89.15,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": null,
      "rec_broken_tackles": null,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": 30.2,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": 17.4,
      "rec_drop_pct": null
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "9228",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.120102+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "unavailable",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "A 23-touchdown passing season kept Young's totals respectable at 14.2 points per game, and the numbers around it explain why his median week was only 12.3. He took pressure on 24.3% of dropbacks, was charted with a bad throw on 17.5% of attempts, lost four fumbles, and averaged 4.0 yards a carry with 13th-percentile yards after contact when he ran, so neither the passing nor the scrambling generated much on its own. His 87.8 passer rating landed in the bottom third, and a 6.9 aDOT keeps the whole operation shallow. Priced at QB27 near pick 172, he is being drafted as superflex filler, which the profile supports. The touchdown rate is the one thing propping the points up, and touchdown rate is the least stable stat on the sheet, so even a repeat of 14.2 a game requires the part of his 2025 most likely to move to hold still.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Bryce Young (knee) off injury report Sunday  — Young received a precautionary MRI at the start of the week. He has been able to practice in full and is officially good to go for Sunday. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-02T17:14:19+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-02T19:00:23.249033+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": 1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
      "llm_severity": 0,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "good to go; precautionary mri; practice in full; off injury report",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-02T19:20:06.360650+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": null,
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": null
  }
}
```
