{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9226","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:29:19.061675+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9226","name":"De'Von Achane","team":"MIA","pos":"RB","age":25,"exp":3,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":59.3,"ros_ppg":12.27,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":12.265268905301244,"source":"fallback","captured_at":null,"covered_weeks":[],"missing_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"remaining_games":10},"proj":260,"adp":13.5,"adp_pr":7,"ly":{"pts":289.3,"g":16,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":238.0,"rushing_yards":1350.0,"rushing_tds":8.0,"targets":85.0,"receptions":67.0,"receiving_yards":488.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":57.0,"receiving_first_downs":23.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":19.4,"ppg":18.08,"ypc":5.7,"ypt":5.7,"ypr":7.3,"catch_pct":78.8,"total_yd":1838.0,"ypg":114.9,"touches":305.0,"first_downs":80.0,"xfp":233.0,"xfp_diff":56.3,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":75.4,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":23.11,"rush_time_to_los":2.9,"rush_ryoe_per_att":1.04,"rush_efficiency":3.56,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.37,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":5.0,"rec_broken_tackles":9.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.65,"rush_yac_att":3.02,"rush_broken_tackles":22.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.9},"ytd":{"pts":21.1,"g":3,"through_week":3,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":34.0,"rushing_yards":127.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":12.0,"receptions":7.0,"receiving_yards":49.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":5.0,"receiving_first_downs":2.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":14.1,"ppg":7.03,"ypc":3.7,"ypt":4.1,"ypr":7.0,"catch_pct":58.3,"total_yd":176.0,"ypg":58.7,"touches":41.0,"first_downs":7.0,"xfp":34.9,"xfp_diff":-13.8,"xfp_through_week":3,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":55.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":16.7}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9226","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:29:19.064320+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Among backs who beat their usage last year, De'Von Achane has the best claim that it was skill. He outscored his expected points by 56, the second-largest gap at the position, and the charting backs it: 3.02 yards after contact per carry, first among 61 qualified backs, rush yards over expected in the 92nd percentile, and 5.7 a carry overall. The role reads as a true three-down job, an 18.8 percent target share that ranked third at the position on a 75 percent snap share. The market takes him at 13.6 in half-PPR while the consensus scores him RB5 at 273, making him one of the few backs in the range available below his projection, and the reasons for that sit outside his control. Miami's early implied totals rank 28th at about 19 a game, which taxes the touchdowns, and he carries a questionable tag into camp. Some of the 56-point overshoot will settle regardless of talent, big gaps usually do. What his after-contact and over-expected numbers argue is that more of it sticks for him than for almost anyone else who ran hot.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"De'Von Achane (knee) suffers season-ending torn ACL — Achane went down early in the Dolphins contest against Kansas City, with Ollie Gordon filling in as the primary rusher in his absence. Gordon is now a primary pickup for fantasy, and Jaylen Wright is worth a pickup as well.","latest_at":"2026-09-28T14:37:58+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-29T09:00:17.434798+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":3,"llm_weeks_out":18.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"season-ending torn acl; went down early; primary rusher; primary pickup; torn acl","llm_role_change":-1,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-29T09:24:28.891527+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}