{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9224","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:55.791339+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9224","name":"Chase Brown","team":"CIN","pos":"RB","age":26,"exp":3,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":75.3,"ros_ppg":13.86,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":13.863400000000002,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":246,"adp":17.6,"adp_pr":12,"ly":{"pts":246.1,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":232.0,"rushing_yards":1019.0,"rushing_tds":6.0,"targets":88.0,"receptions":69.0,"receiving_yards":437.0,"receiving_tds":5.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":52.0,"receiving_first_downs":18.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":14.5,"ppg":14.48,"ypc":4.4,"ypt":5.0,"ypr":6.3,"catch_pct":78.4,"total_yd":1456.0,"ypg":85.6,"touches":301.0,"first_downs":70.0,"xfp":253.5,"xfp_diff":-7.4,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":66.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":15.52,"rush_time_to_los":2.67,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.35,"rush_efficiency":3.56,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.44,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":5.0,"rec_broken_tackles":7.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.42,"rush_yac_att":1.97,"rush_broken_tackles":15.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.7},"ytd":{"pts":60.8,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":82.0,"rushing_yards":285.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":33.0,"receptions":28.0,"receiving_yards":143.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":14.0,"receiving_first_downs":4.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":15.4,"ppg":10.13,"ypc":3.5,"ypt":4.3,"ypr":5.1,"catch_pct":84.8,"total_yd":428.0,"ypg":71.3,"touches":110.0,"first_downs":18.0,"xfp":85.3,"xfp_diff":-22.5,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":71.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":24.39,"rush_time_to_los":2.62,"rush_ryoe_per_att":-0.6,"rush_efficiency":4.37,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.38,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":1.99,"rush_yac_att":1.49,"rush_broken_tackles":6.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9224","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:55.794183+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"unavailable","news_inference":"unavailable","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Cincinnati handed Chase Brown 301 touches and 88 targets, and the usage was worth 254 expected points, fifth among all backs. He scored slightly under that, which is roughly what his per-touch numbers deserve: 4.4 a carry, league-average yards over expected, and 5.0 yards a target on shallow dump-off work in the 19th percentile. Most of the appeal comes from the environment around him. Defenses stacked the box on under 16 percent of his carries, one of the lightest rates at the position because the Bengals threaten with the pass, and the team's early 2026 implied totals rank top-five. At 19.1 in half-PPR he goes RB12 while the consensus projects him RB9 at 245, so the second-round price actually sits below the projection, a small rebate on 95th-percentile opportunity. Everything rests on the role surviving, since nothing in his per-touch profile would hold value on reduced work.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":null,"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}