# KaVontae Turpin — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8917 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8917", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:17:13.500585+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "8917", "name": "KaVontae Turpin", "team": "DAL", "pos": "WR", "age": 30, "exp": 4, "injury": "Out", "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 2.2, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 2.1988230646958282, "source": "sleeper_future+fallback", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [ 8 ], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 54, "adp": 693.4, "adp_pr": 461, "ly": { "pts": 71.5, "g": 15, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 17.0, "rushing_yards": 89.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 38.0, "receptions": 26.0, "receiving_yards": 396.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 4.0, "receiving_first_downs": 16.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 7.0, "ppg": 4.77, "ypc": 5.2, "ypt": 10.4, "ypr": 15.2, "catch_pct": 68.4, "total_yd": 485.0, "ypg": 32.3, "touches": 43.0, "first_downs": 20.0, "xfp": 59.8, "xfp_diff": 13.7, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 35.5, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 4.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 10.5 }, "ytd": { "pts": 12.9, "g": 6, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 2.0, "rushing_yards": 10.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 7.0, "receptions": 4.0, "receiving_yards": 39.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 1.0, "receiving_first_downs": 4.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 2.9, "ppg": 2.15, "ypc": 5.0, "ypt": 5.6, "ypr": 9.8, "catch_pct": 57.1, "total_yd": 49.0, "ypg": 8.2, "touches": 6.0, "first_downs": 5.0, "xfp": 10.0, "xfp_diff": 2.9, "xfp_through_week": 5, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 14.8, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "8917", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:17:13.638383+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Seventeen carries trailed only one wide receiver in football last season, and KaVontae Turpin turned that hybrid role into 71.5 points against 59.8 expected, a plus-11.7 gap in the 85th percentile of qualified receivers. His 89 rushing yards ranked third at the position, his four rushing first downs sat in the 96th percentile, and he managed all of it on 35.5 percent of the snaps, so the per-touch explosiveness is not in question. Arithmetic is the ceiling: a 6.3 percent target share and part-time snaps leave little room for growth, and efficiency gaps this size usually give some back, which makes his 4.0 points per game without his best week a more honest baseline than the 4.8 he averaged. Dallas fields a top-four implied total, useful for the touchdown math on limited touches, and the 54-point projection with 102 rushing yards assumes the gadget role simply continues. He goes around pick 374, essentially free, and the weekly median of 3.7 points is the number worth holding onto however electric the highlights.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "KaVontae Turpin (ribs) ruled out Sunday — Turpin remains off the fantasy radar when he is healthy. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-30T21:49:53+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 2, "llm_weeks_out": 1.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "ribs; ruled out sunday; off the fantasy radar", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:17:49.263105+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "out", "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "out", "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```