# Malik Davis — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8800 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8800", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:21:08.367048+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "8800", "name": "Malik Davis", "team": "DAL", "pos": "RB", "age": 27, "exp": 4, "injury": "IR", "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 4.22, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 4.224705882352942, "source": "fallback", "captured_at": null, "covered_weeks": [], "missing_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 ], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 72, "adp": 686.1, "adp_pr": 290, "ly": { "pts": 39.6, "g": 10, "through_week": 17, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 52.0, "rushing_yards": 250.0, "rushing_tds": 2.0, "targets": 5.0, "receptions": 2.0, "receiving_yards": 16.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 11.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 1.4, "ppg": 3.96, "ypc": 4.8, "ypt": 3.2, "ypr": 8.0, "catch_pct": 40.0, "total_yd": 266.0, "ypg": 26.6, "touches": 54.0, "first_downs": 11.0, "xfp": 37.9, "xfp_diff": 1.7, "xfp_through_week": 17, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 20.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.96, "rush_yac_att": 1.85, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 20.0 }, "ytd": null, "adv_ytd": null }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "8800", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:21:08.369869+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "That 4.8 yards per carry from Malik Davis last season is doing a lot of false advertising. Split it open and 2.96 of those yards came before contact, 89th percentile and mostly the offensive line's doing, while his 1.85 after contact sat at the 47th percentile and he broke zero tackles on 52 carries, dead last among 89 qualified backs, so the efficiency was manufactured upstream of him. The receiving profile is thinner still, a 0.8 percent target share and two catches across ten games, which caps his usefulness outside standard scoring. What keeps him draft-relevant is the ecosystem: Dallas carries the fourth-highest implied team totals at 25.7 points a game, and the consensus hands him 80 carries with 2.7 rushing touchdowns for an RB63 finish, a projection that is really a bet on short scores in a top-five offense. He goes at pick 252, effectively free, and free touchdown equity is a reasonable last-round purchase as long as you know the shiny rate stat on his 2025 page belongs mostly to five linemen.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Malik Davis (hip) placed on season-ending injured reserve — It's a tough blow to the veteran running back, who worked his way up the depth chart past two much younger and potentially more intriguing prospects. He will now focus on returning in 2027, but his road will be much harder, as he will be nearly 29 when next season rolls around.", "latest_at": "2026-09-12T20:29:23+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-13T10:00:02.666547+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 3, "llm_weeks_out": 18.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "season-ending injured reserve; tough blow; veteran running back; placed on ir; focus on returning", "llm_role_change": -1, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-13T10:12:21.903372+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```