{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8408","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:28:35.984663+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8408","name":"Jordan Mason","team":"MIN","pos":"RB","age":27,"exp":4,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":16.1,"ros_ppg":7.95,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":7.945799999999998,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":139,"adp":96.1,"adp_pr":37,"ly":{"pts":121.9,"g":16,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":159.0,"rushing_yards":758.0,"rushing_tds":6.0,"targets":16.0,"receptions":14.0,"receiving_yards":51.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":47.0,"receiving_first_downs":1.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":3.5,"ppg":7.62,"ypc":4.8,"ypt":3.2,"ypr":3.6,"catch_pct":87.5,"total_yd":809.0,"ypg":50.6,"touches":173.0,"first_downs":48.0,"xfp":115.0,"xfp_diff":8.9,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":42.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":25.16,"rush_time_to_los":2.84,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.94,"rush_efficiency":3.71,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.45,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.35,"rush_yac_att":2.42,"rush_broken_tackles":13.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0},"ytd":{"pts":18.7,"g":2,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":30.0,"rushing_yards":127.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":2.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":5.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":4.3,"ppg":9.35,"ypc":4.2,"ypt":0.0,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":0.0,"total_yd":127.0,"ypg":63.5,"touches":30.0,"first_downs":5.0,"xfp":21.2,"xfp_diff":-2.5,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":54.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":2.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8408","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:28:35.988254+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"On 159 carries last year, Mason ran like a player who deserved more of them. He posted 4.8 yards per carry, 1.02 rush yards over expected per attempt in the top tenth of the position, and 2.42 yards after contact, 89th percentile, a runner adding value on his own since his yards before contact sat below the median. He beat his expected points by about 7 despite a 3.4 percent target share that keeps him off the field on passing downs. The consensus gives him 176 carries and RB40 points, and half-PPR drafters can wait until pick 125 (RB43) for it, a reasonable cost for the efficient half of a Minnesota committee. No receiving role means his weekly range starts near zero, and the Vikings' 19th-ranked implied totals don't promise many short touchdowns, so treat him as a bench back who is priced below his demonstrated per-carry ability and becomes interesting the moment volume shifts.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jordan Mason (thumb) expected to return in Week 7 — Mason is expected to return after the Vikings bye week. He will figure to return to a committee with Aaron Jones. ","latest_at":"2026-10-09T17:51:11+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-10T19:00:24.170294+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":2.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"expected to return week 7; vikings bye week; committee with aaron jones","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-12T09:06:44.159531+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-14","source":"curves-v1"}}}