{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8210","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:18:14.901848+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8210","name":"Chig Okonkwo","team":"WAS","pos":"TE","age":27,"exp":4,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":6.07,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":6.068600000000001,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":100,"adp":194.8,"adp_pr":22,"ly":{"pts":96.0,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":79.0,"receptions":56.0,"receiving_yards":560.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":24.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":14.9,"ppg":5.65,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.1,"ypr":10.0,"catch_pct":70.9,"total_yd":560.0,"ypg":32.9,"touches":56.0,"first_downs":24.0,"xfp":93.4,"xfp_diff":2.6,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":63.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.84,"rec_avg_cushion":5.8,"rec_adot":4.47,"rec_air_share":9.09,"rec_yac_above_exp":1.13,"rec_catch_pct":70.89,"rec_drops":5.0,"rec_broken_tackles":6.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.3},"ytd":{"pts":22.5,"g":4,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":20.0,"receptions":15.0,"receiving_yards":150.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":16.3,"ppg":5.62,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.5,"ypr":10.0,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":150.0,"ypg":37.5,"touches":15.0,"first_downs":7.0,"xfp":24.3,"xfp_diff":-1.8,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":65.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.21,"rec_avg_cushion":6.48,"rec_adot":7.3,"rec_air_share":8.3,"rec_yac_above_exp":-2.37,"rec_catch_pct":75.0,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8210","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:18:14.911892+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Washington brought Chig Okonkwo over from Tennessee, and the early reporting expects the Commanders to feature tight ends more in the passing game with him leading the room. His game is a specific one: the 2025 charting shows a 4.4-yard aDOT near the bottom of the position next to 89th-percentile separation, 1.17 YAC over expected (89th), and six broken tackles (95th), which is to say Tennessee threw him screens and flats and he turned them into 560 yards mostly on his own after the catch. That style has a hard ceiling, and his numbers wear it plainly, 7.1 yards per target in the 34th percentile and two touchdowns on 79 targets last year, which is why the consensus stays at TE26 even with the friendlier team context. At a 152 half-PPR ADP, TE23, the cost is close to fair, and the appeal is the scenario where the promised usage bump turns catch-and-run efficiency that already grades elite into eight points a week instead of the five and a half he averaged last season.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Chig Okonkwo (hamstring) listed as limited Thursday — The veteran tight end was able to log another limited practice session on Thursday. His hamstring injury isn't serious at this point, however, and he is expected to play through it in this week's matchup against the Giants.","latest_at":"2026-10-08T20:55:41+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00","llm_sentiment":0,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":0.5,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"limited practice; hamstring injury; expected to play; not serious; listed as limited","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-09T09:04:49.018809+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-09","source":"curves-v1"}}}