# Isiah Pacheco — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8205 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8205", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:23:36.294510+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "8205", "name": "Isiah Pacheco", "team": "DET", "pos": "RB", "age": 27, "exp": 4, "injury": "IR", "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 4.44, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 4.442941176470589, "source": "fallback", "captured_at": null, "covered_weeks": [], "missing_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 76, "adp": 172.1, "adp_pr": 55, "ly": { "pts": 77.8, "g": 13, "through_week": 17, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 118.0, "rushing_yards": 462.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 26.0, "receptions": 19.0, "receiving_yards": 101.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 29.0, "receiving_first_downs": 4.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 6.4, "ppg": 5.98, "ypc": 3.9, "ypt": 3.9, "ypr": 5.3, "catch_pct": 73.1, "total_yd": 563.0, "ypg": 43.3, "touches": 137.0, "first_downs": 33.0, "xfp": 95.2, "xfp_diff": -17.4, "xfp_through_week": 17, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 51.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 13.56, "rush_time_to_los": 2.77, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.43, "rush_efficiency": 3.89, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.4, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 3.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.31, "rush_yac_att": 1.6, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 11.5 }, "ytd": null, "adv_ytd": null }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "8205", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:23:36.297780+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Kansas City handed Pacheco about the friendliest rushing context a back can get in 2025. Defenses loaded the box against him at nearly the lowest rate among qualified runners, and he still managed 3.9 yards a carry with minus-0.41 rush yards over expected per attempt. His 1.6 yards after contact sat in the 17th percentile, so the blocking takes little of the blame. He also finished 17 points under what his touches should have produced, among the worst gaps at the position. The move to Detroit changes the frame: an offense Vegas ranks second by implied totals at 26.9 points a game, a number-two depth chart spot, and a consensus projection (105 half-PPR points, RB46) that sits well ahead of his RB59 price. The bet is that an elite environment and pure volume can carry a 27-year-old whose charting says the individual juice is gone. I'd make that bet at his half-PPR cost near pick 175 before his standard cost two rounds earlier, since almost none of his value arrives through the air, 26 targets across 13 games last year.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Isiah Pacheco (back/knee) out for 12 weeks after undergoing back surgery — It's a tough blow to Pacheco, who was already struggling with a knee injury. He's droppable in all formats, as his handcuff status for 2026 is pretty much out the window.", "latest_at": "2026-09-14T21:45:33+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-15T19:00:21.418766+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 3, "llm_weeks_out": 12.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "out for 12 weeks; back surgery; tough blow; droppable in all formats; handcuff status out", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-15T19:01:00.273711+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```