# Kenneth Walker III — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8151 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8151", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:42.964036+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "8151", "name": "Kenneth Walker III", "team": "KC", "pos": "RB", "age": 26, "exp": 4, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 133.7, "ros_ppg": 19.7, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 19.7043, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 236, "adp": 17.6, "adp_pr": 11, "ly": { "pts": 176.4, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 221.0, "rushing_yards": 1027.0, "rushing_tds": 5.0, "targets": 36.0, "receptions": 31.0, "receiving_yards": 282.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 49.0, "receiving_first_downs": 12.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 7.9, "ppg": 10.38, "ypc": 4.6, "ypt": 7.8, "ypr": 9.1, "catch_pct": 86.1, "total_yd": 1309.0, "ypg": 77.0, "touches": 252.0, "first_downs": 61.0, "xfp": 171.7, "xfp_diff": 4.7, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 46.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 28.51, "rush_time_to_los": 3.19, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.25, "rush_efficiency": 4.5, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.37, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 3.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 8.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.76, "rush_yac_att": 1.93, "rush_broken_tackles": 35.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 8.3 }, "ytd": { "pts": 138.7, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 120.0, "rushing_yards": 701.0, "rushing_tds": 6.0, "targets": 27.0, "receptions": 18.0, "receiving_yards": 116.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 35.0, "receiving_first_downs": 5.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 15.1, "ppg": 23.12, "ypc": 5.8, "ypt": 4.3, "ypr": 6.4, "catch_pct": 66.7, "total_yd": 817.0, "ypg": 136.2, "touches": 138.0, "first_downs": 40.0, "xfp": 121.1, "xfp_diff": 17.6, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 74.3, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 25.0, "rush_time_to_los": 2.8, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 2.26, "rush_efficiency": 3.24, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.42, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 2.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 4.0, "rush_ybc_att": 3.17, "rush_yac_att": 2.67, "rush_broken_tackles": 13.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 7.4 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "8151", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:42.968140+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Kenneth Walker to Kansas City has produced one of the stranger prices on the board. Standard-scoring drafters take him at 7.2 overall as the RB6, the consensus projection scores him RB15 at 228, and even his half-PPR ADP of 16.8 runs several spots ahead of the projection. None of that enthusiasm traces to his 2025. He averaged 10.4 points a game in Seattle on a 47 percent snap share, with usage worth about 172 expected points, a mid-range RB2 workload. The style numbers are genuinely vivid: 35 broken tackles on runs, the most of any back in the league, the longest time to the line of scrimmage among qualifiers, and a 95th-percentile bounce rate on his rush paths, a creator who hunts the big play, though his yards over expected finished unremarkable once the misses are tallied. The destination changes his touchdown math, and that part of the optimism is defensible. A first-round standard price for a back who has not held even a 50 percent snap share is still paying for the answer before Kansas City has shown what the role is.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Kenneth Walker III totals 178 yards in OT win Sunday — Walker's hot start to the season continued on Sunday night. He totaled 178 yards from scrimmage in a big win over the Colts, and he was able to do that while maintaining terrific efficiency. He will continue to be a top-tier fantasy asset for as long as he remains healthy and on the field moving forward.", "latest_at": "2026-09-21T15:44:51+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-22T09:00:23.628001+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "hot start to the season; 178 yards from scrimmage; terrific efficiency; top-tier fantasy asset; remains healthy", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-22T09:03:05.877004+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": null, "as_of": "2026-09-02", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```