{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8148","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:38.358549+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8148","name":"Jameson Williams","team":"DET","pos":"WR","age":25,"exp":4,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":18.0,"ros_ppg":9.33,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":9.331,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":185,"adp":58.7,"adp_pr":25,"ly":{"pts":187.4,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":6.0,"rushing_yards":12.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":102.0,"receptions":65.0,"receiving_yards":1117.0,"receiving_tds":7.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":49.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":18.5,"ppg":11.02,"ypc":2.0,"ypt":11.0,"ypr":17.2,"catch_pct":63.7,"total_yd":1129.0,"ypg":66.4,"touches":71.0,"first_downs":49.0,"xfp":150.4,"xfp_diff":37.0,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":90.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.17,"rec_avg_cushion":6.08,"rec_adot":12.4,"rec_air_share":33.71,"rec_yac_above_exp":1.81,"rec_catch_pct":63.73,"rec_drops":11.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":10.8},"ytd":{"pts":72.2,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":38.0,"receptions":23.0,"receiving_yards":367.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":18.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":17.4,"ppg":12.03,"ypc":null,"ypt":9.7,"ypr":16.0,"catch_pct":60.5,"total_yd":367.0,"ypg":61.2,"touches":23.0,"first_downs":18.0,"xfp":62.2,"xfp_diff":10.0,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":89.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.69,"rec_avg_cushion":6.54,"rec_adot":15.63,"rec_air_share":32.25,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.2,"rec_catch_pct":60.53,"rec_drops":5.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":13.2}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8148","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:38.365636+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Detroit gave Williams a 90 percent snap share last year, seventh-highest at the position, and he converted 102 targets into 1,117 yards on efficiency that barely looks real: 11.0 yards per target (95th percentile), 17.2 per catch, and 1.84 yards after catch over expected, sixth-best among qualified wideouts. He also outscored his usage-based expectation by 37 points, the third-largest overshoot at the position, which is normally where the regression warning goes. A speed profile with elite YAC is the kind that sustains part of a gap like that, but only part, and the volume underneath stays thin at six targets a game on an 18.5 percent share. Drops are the other tax, eleven of them, most among receivers, a 10.8 percent rate. The consensus lands at 185 points, WR21, and half-PPR rooms price him WR23 around pick 52, close to fair, with Detroit's implied totals ranking second in the league to prop up the whole arrangement. Drafted there he is a volatility play, a receiver whose spike weeks win matchups outright while the thin target floor guarantees some empty ones.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jameson Williams scores twice in win Sunday — Williams only caught two passes on Sunday, but he was able to get into the end zone on both of them, which left him with a great fantasy total in this win over the Cardinals. He is expected to continue to be a boom-or-bust fantasy option on a week-to-week basis moving forward.","latest_at":"2026-10-12T15:28:21+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"scores twice; great fantasy total; boom or bust; week to week basis; caught two passes","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-13T09:03:28.615428+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-08-19","source":"curves-v1"}}}