{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8146","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:29:00.928285+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8146","name":"Garrett Wilson","team":"NYJ","pos":"WR","age":26,"exp":4,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":47.3,"ros_ppg":12.78,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":12.78088888888889,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":194,"adp":44.6,"adp_pr":20,"ly":{"pts":81.5,"g":7,"through_week":10,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":59.0,"receptions":36.0,"receiving_yards":395.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":18.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":33.7,"ppg":11.64,"ypc":null,"ypt":6.7,"ypr":11.0,"catch_pct":61.0,"total_yd":395.0,"ypg":56.4,"touches":36.0,"first_downs":18.0,"xfp":76.2,"xfp_diff":5.3,"xfp_through_week":10,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":87.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.14,"rec_avg_cushion":6.38,"rec_adot":9.43,"rec_air_share":16.99,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.02,"rec_catch_pct":61.02,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.1},"ytd":{"pts":80.9,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":51.0,"receptions":37.0,"receiving_yards":444.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":22.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":25.9,"ppg":11.56,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.7,"ypr":12.0,"catch_pct":72.5,"total_yd":444.0,"ypg":63.4,"touches":37.0,"first_downs":22.0,"xfp":68.2,"xfp_diff":12.7,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":90.4,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.65,"rec_avg_cushion":4.02,"rec_adot":9.55,"rec_air_share":35.01,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.27,"rec_catch_pct":72.55,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.9}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8146","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:29:00.934627+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"current","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Wilson's case rests on volume, and the volume is verifiable: he averaged 8.4 targets across seven healthy games in 2025 and played 87 percent of the snaps, a top-12 rate at the position. What the targets bought was less encouraging: 6.7 yards per target and 11.0 per catch both sat near the 20th percentile, his air-yards share was a modest 17 percent, and his YAC over expected came in slightly negative. That is the statistical picture of a receiver fed short, contested work in an offense generating nothing downfield. The environment looks no better on paper this year, with early Vegas lines giving the Jets an 18.9-point average implied total, 30th in the league. The consensus projection of 196 points (half-PPR) with 98 catches assumes the target hose keeps running at full pressure and takes whatever efficiency comes with it. A fourth-round ADP at WR16 tracks that projection closely, so the price is honest, and the real decision is whether catch-driven scoring from the league's worst-projected offense fits the roster you're building.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Garrett Wilson not expected to be traded — Wilson told reporters this week that he hasn't requested a trade. It appears the Jets will continue to build around him. 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