{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8138","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:28:30.226634+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8138","name":"James Cook III","team":"BUF","pos":"RB","age":27,"exp":4,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":97.1,"ros_ppg":16.04,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":16.0397,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":254,"adp":8.2,"adp_pr":5,"ly":{"pts":285.7,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":309.0,"rushing_yards":1621.0,"rushing_tds":12.0,"targets":40.0,"receptions":33.0,"receiving_yards":291.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":71.0,"receiving_first_downs":11.0,"fumbles_lost":3.0,"tgt_share":8.4,"ppg":16.81,"ypc":5.2,"ypt":7.3,"ypr":8.8,"catch_pct":82.5,"total_yd":1912.0,"ypg":112.5,"touches":342.0,"first_downs":82.0,"xfp":246.5,"xfp_diff":45.2,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":57.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":30.42,"rush_time_to_los":2.58,"rush_ryoe_per_att":1.13,"rush_efficiency":3.25,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.47,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":4.0,"rec_broken_tackles":3.0,"rush_ybc_att":3.02,"rush_yac_att":2.11,"rush_broken_tackles":23.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":10.0},"ytd":{"pts":108.6,"g":6,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":117.0,"rushing_yards":627.0,"rushing_tds":6.0,"targets":14.0,"receptions":10.0,"receiving_yards":89.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":35.0,"receiving_first_downs":5.0,"fumbles_lost":2.0,"tgt_share":8.8,"ppg":18.1,"ypc":5.4,"ypt":6.4,"ypr":8.9,"catch_pct":71.4,"total_yd":716.0,"ypg":119.3,"touches":127.0,"first_downs":40.0,"xfp":93.8,"xfp_diff":18.8,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":66.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":23.08,"rush_time_to_los":2.53,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.93,"rush_efficiency":3.17,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.46,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":3.6,"rush_yac_att":1.76,"rush_broken_tackles":8.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8138","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:28:30.232748+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Nobody ran for more yards than James Cook's 1,621 last season, and the charting says he earned an unusual share of it himself: 1.17 rush yards over expected per attempt, second among qualified backs, a 98th-percentile rate of runs beating expectation, and 3.02 yards before contact per carry that says Buffalo blocked well too. The fantasy discount hides in everything around the rushing. He caught 33 passes on 40 targets, dropped 10 percent of the balls thrown his way, the second-worst rate at the position, and played 57 percent of snaps, closer to committee usage than his yardage title implies. His 16.8 points a game also carried a 39-point overshoot of his usage value, touchdown-flavored and prone to settling. That mix is why the consensus projects him RB7 at 254 while the market takes him RB5 at 8.2 overall in half-PPR. Buffalo's top-five implied totals keep the touchdown well full, and they need to, because his reception floor is thin enough that an ordinary red-zone season would drop him a tier.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"James Cook III rushes for two TDs in Week 5 — Cook fumbled twice, losing one, on Monday night, but he still managed to post a dominant fantasy outing. The veteran running back rushed for touchdowns of 17 and five yards in the contest. He now has 532 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the season. Cook will be a strong RB1 in fantasy heading into Week 6 vs. the Raiders.","latest_at":"2026-10-13T09:28:23+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"strong rb1; dominant fantasy outing; two tds; fumbled twice; week 6","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-14T09:06:50.126779+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}