# Treylon Burks — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8135 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8135", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:20:45.674913+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "8135", "name": "Treylon Burks", "team": "WAS", "pos": "WR", "age": 26, "exp": 4, "injury": "Questionable", "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 4.6, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 4.598000000000001, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 37, "adp": 678.8, "adp_pr": 403, "ly": { "pts": 24.0, "g": 8, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 22.0, "receptions": 10.0, "receiving_yards": 130.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 7.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 12.0, "ppg": 3.0, "ypc": null, "ypt": 5.9, "ypr": 13.0, "catch_pct": 45.5, "total_yd": 130.0, "ypg": 16.2, "touches": 10.0, "first_downs": 7.0, "xfp": 40.4, "xfp_diff": -16.4, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 60.1, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 }, "ytd": { "pts": 31.7, "g": 5, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 17.0, "receptions": 9.0, "receiving_yards": 152.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 6.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 10.8, "ppg": 6.34, "ypc": null, "ypt": 8.9, "ypr": 16.9, "catch_pct": 52.9, "total_yd": 152.0, "ypg": 30.4, "touches": 9.0, "first_downs": 6.0, "xfp": 29.4, "xfp_diff": 2.3, "xfp_through_week": 6, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 50.6, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "8135", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:20:45.679818+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Washington kept Burks on the field for 60 percent of the snaps when he played in 2025, which is the strangest part of his line, because the offense almost never looked at him: 22 targets across eight games and a 5.1 percent target share in the bottom sixth of the position. When the ball did come he caught 10 of the 22, and 24 points against 40.4 expected works out to a 59 percent conversion, among the weaker conversion marks anywhere on the board. Running that many routes for that little volume usually describes a blocking role rather than a buried talent waiting on targets. He opens 2026 fifth on the same depth chart, carrying a 37-point consensus projection and a 363 ADP, essentially free, in an offense whose implied totals sit mid-pack. Drafters taking him there are betting that a 26-year-old his own team has already watched at close range still has something the usage never showed, and the only supporting data is a snap share that says the coaches kept letting him run routes.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Treylon Burks (foot) listed questionable Sunday — Burks suffered a late foot injury in the Commanders last game. He'll need to be monitored closer to kickoff. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-30T20:44:06+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": 0.5, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "listed questionable; foot injury; need to be monitored; late foot injury; questionable sunday", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:08:15.617589+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```