{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8134","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:28:34.720887+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8134","name":"Khalil Shakir","team":"BUF","pos":"WR","age":26,"exp":4,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":7.09,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":7.092800000000001,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":130,"adp":152.5,"adp_pr":58,"ly":{"pts":130.4,"g":16,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":5.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":95.0,"receptions":72.0,"receiving_yards":719.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":28.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":21.1,"ppg":8.15,"ypc":5.0,"ypt":7.6,"ypr":10.0,"catch_pct":75.8,"total_yd":724.0,"ypg":45.2,"touches":73.0,"first_downs":28.0,"xfp":113.9,"xfp_diff":18.5,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":59.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.79,"rec_avg_cushion":6.76,"rec_adot":3.53,"rec_air_share":9.79,"rec_yac_above_exp":1.86,"rec_catch_pct":75.79,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":10.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.2},"ytd":{"pts":44.0,"g":6,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":32.0,"receptions":22.0,"receiving_yards":290.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":11.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":20.0,"ppg":7.33,"ypc":null,"ypt":9.1,"ypr":13.2,"catch_pct":68.8,"total_yd":290.0,"ypg":48.3,"touches":22.0,"first_downs":11.0,"xfp":43.9,"xfp_diff":2.1,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":63.3,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.8,"rec_avg_cushion":6.74,"rec_adot":5.74,"rec_air_share":13.19,"rec_yac_above_exp":1.57,"rec_catch_pct":68.75,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":9.4}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8134","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:28:34.724124+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Shakir's charting profile barely resembles a normal receiver's. A 3.54 aDOT ranked dead last among 79 qualified wideouts, and a 9.8% air-yards share sat in the 11th percentile, meaning Buffalo essentially handed him the ball at the line and asked him to create. He created plenty: 1.88 YAC over expected per reception and 3.8 yards of average separation, both 94th percentile, a 76% catch rate, and ten broken tackles on receptions, second-most at the position. That combination is how the shallowest usage in football still beat its expected points by 16.5, an 87th-percentile conversion. The archetype's cost is a capped ceiling, since four touchdowns and 10.0 yards per reception don't produce spike weeks, and a 19.9% target share on a 60% snap share shows Buffalo feeding him when he plays without playing him constantly. The offense helps, carrying a 25.6 average implied total, fifth in the league. Half-PPR drafters take him at 130, WR53 in that market, against a 135-point WR48 projection, a modest discount that grows in full PPR, where the catch volume counts double.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Khalil Shakir goes for 80 yards in Week 5 win — Shakir led the Bills in receiving, doing most of his damage on a 57-yard catch early in overtime. Shakir now has 18 catches for 256 yards and no touchdowns through his team's first five games. He will be a flex option in fantasy heading into Week 6 vs. the Raiders.","latest_at":"2026-10-13T09:36:59+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"flex option; led the bills; 80 yards; 57-yard catch; no touchdowns","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-14T09:06:18.202786+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-09-09","source":"curves-v1"}}}