# Tyler Allgeier — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8132 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8132", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:31:01.878732+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "8132", "name": "Tyler Allgeier", "team": "ARI", "pos": "RB", "age": 26, "exp": 4, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 5.7, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 5.699222222222222, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 83, "adp": 132.0, "adp_pr": 43, "ly": { "pts": 116.0, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 143.0, "rushing_yards": 514.0, "rushing_tds": 8.0, "targets": 16.0, "receptions": 14.0, "receiving_yards": 96.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 36.0, "receiving_first_downs": 3.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 3.1, "ppg": 6.82, "ypc": 3.6, "ypt": 6.0, "ypr": 6.9, "catch_pct": 87.5, "total_yd": 610.0, "ypg": 35.9, "touches": 157.0, "first_downs": 39.0, "xfp": 117.1, "xfp_diff": -1.1, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 30.2, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 24.48, "rush_time_to_los": 2.89, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.2, "rush_efficiency": 4.73, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.39, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": 1.99, "rush_yac_att": 1.61, "rush_broken_tackles": 9.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 6.2 }, "ytd": { "pts": 40.0, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 61.0, "rushing_yards": 176.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 17.0, "receptions": 16.0, "receiving_yards": 84.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 8.0, "receiving_first_downs": 4.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 6.2, "ppg": 5.71, "ypc": 2.9, "ypt": 4.9, "ypr": 5.2, "catch_pct": 94.1, "total_yd": 260.0, "ypg": 37.1, "touches": 77.0, "first_downs": 12.0, "xfp": 55.8, "xfp_diff": -15.8, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 51.6, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 29.51, "rush_time_to_los": 2.8, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.6, "rush_efficiency": 4.82, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.33, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": 1.52, "rush_yac_att": 1.36, "rush_broken_tackles": 5.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "8132", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:31:01.881787+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "unavailable", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Arizona is the new home, and the standard-league market has responded by taking Allgeier at RB38, pick 89, a full fifteen ranks ahead of his RB53 consensus projection. The 2025 numbers make that gap hard to defend. He averaged 3.6 yards per carry, 9th percentile, with negative rush yards over expected and below-average yards both before and after contact, so neither the blocking nor the running was working, and his eight touchdowns (86th percentile) did nearly all of the fantasy scoring. He also played just 30 percent of snaps in Atlanta, an 8th-percentile share, and now joins a Cardinals team carrying the worst implied team total in the league on early lines at 18.3 points per game. Touchdown-dependent backs in bad offenses are a classic way drafters get hurt, because the one skill being priced is the one most tied to team scoring, and this team may not score much. Half-PPR treats him more sensibly at pick 121 (RB41), with PPR later still given the small receiving footprint. Even at the softer prices, the projection sees 87 points, a total that usually ends up on waiver wires by midseason.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Tyler Allgeier (toe) off injury report Sunday — Allgeier will return to his depth role with Jeremiyah Love slated to return. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-30T21:47:58+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00", "llm_sentiment": null, "llm_injury_trajectory": null, "llm_severity": null, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": null, "llm_key_phrases": null, "llm_role_change": null, "llm_usage_outlook": null, "llm_team_context": null, "llm_relevance": null, "llm_inferred_at": null, "llm_model": null, "inference_status": "unavailable" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```