# Trey McBride — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8130 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8130", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.207872+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "8130", "name": "Trey McBride", "team": "ARI", "pos": "TE", "age": 26, "exp": 4, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 57.3, "ros_ppg": 13.02, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 13.024666666666667, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 202, "adp": 26.0, "adp_pr": 2, "ly": { "pts": 252.9, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 169.0, "receptions": 126.0, "receiving_yards": 1239.0, "receiving_tds": 11.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 63.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 27.4, "ppg": 14.88, "ypc": null, "ypt": 7.3, "ypr": 9.8, "catch_pct": 74.6, "total_yd": 1239.0, "ypg": 72.9, "touches": 126.0, "first_downs": 63.0, "xfp": 235.4, "xfp_diff": 17.5, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 91.4, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.06, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.5, "rec_adot": 6.87, "rec_air_share": 25.79, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.65, "rec_catch_pct": 74.56, "rec_drops": 2.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 9.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 1.2 }, "ytd": { "pts": 100.7, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 78.0, "receptions": 59.0, "receiving_yards": 472.0, "receiving_tds": 4.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 24.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 28.7, "ppg": 14.39, "ypc": null, "ypt": 6.1, "ypr": 8.0, "catch_pct": 75.6, "total_yd": 472.0, "ypg": 67.4, "touches": 59.0, "first_downs": 24.0, "xfp": 107.9, "xfp_diff": -7.2, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 90.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.43, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.24, "rec_adot": 6.11, "rec_air_share": 23.82, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.31, "rec_catch_pct": 75.64, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 4.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 1.3 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "8130", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:20:46.210787+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "No tight end came close to McBride's 2025 workload. He led the position in targets (169), target share (27.4 percent), receptions, receiving yards, and expected fantasy points, played a 91 percent snap share, and posted a 25.8 percent air-yards share that also topped every qualifier, so the volume was deep as well as constant. The nine broken tackles after the catch led all tight ends, and he dropped 1.2 percent of his targets, which leaves basically no soft spot in the individual profile. Arizona is what the price has to absorb: Vegas ranks the Cardinals dead last by implied team total at 18.3 points a game. Worth remembering that he scored 252.9 points inside a version of that same offense, which is why the consensus projection keeps him at TE1 with 203 points even while shaving roughly 50 off his actual. At an ADP right around pick 20 across formats, he's the rare early tight end whose case rests on volume already banked rather than volume you have to forecast.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Trey McBride hauls in touchdown Sunday — The star tight end played well on Sunday. He was able to record 66 yards and a touchdown on his nine catches, which left him with a great fantasy total on the afternoon. He should continue to be great moving forward, even with Arizona not expected to win many games over the course of the season.", "latest_at": "2026-10-12T15:47:29+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "great fantasy total; record 66 yards; touchdown sunday; nine catches; should continue to be great", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T09:24:18.623944+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```