{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8111","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:48.038129+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8111","name":"Cade Otton","team":"TB","pos":"TE","age":27,"exp":4,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":6.27,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":6.267777777777779,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":102,"adp":246.0,"adp_pr":30,"ly":{"pts":92.7,"g":15,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":81.0,"receptions":59.0,"receiving_yards":572.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":25.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":16.9,"ppg":6.18,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.1,"ypr":9.7,"catch_pct":72.8,"total_yd":572.0,"ypg":38.1,"touches":59.0,"first_downs":25.0,"xfp":94.7,"xfp_diff":-2.0,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":93.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.5,"rec_avg_cushion":5.59,"rec_adot":4.87,"rec_air_share":9.06,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.78,"rec_catch_pct":72.84,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":6.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":1.2},"ytd":{"pts":28.1,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":30.0,"receptions":19.0,"receiving_yards":186.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":13.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":15.2,"ppg":4.01,"ypc":null,"ypt":6.2,"ypr":9.8,"catch_pct":63.3,"total_yd":186.0,"ypg":26.6,"touches":19.0,"first_downs":13.0,"xfp":36.7,"xfp_diff":-8.6,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":93.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.55,"rec_avg_cushion":5.6,"rec_adot":5.73,"rec_air_share":11.85,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.09,"rec_catch_pct":63.33,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.3}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8111","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:48.042529+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"unavailable","news_inference":"unavailable","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Every snap-based number in Cade Otton's profile points the same direction, starting with a 93.5 percent snap share that led all tight ends and a 15 percent target share (81st percentile) that produced 59 catches and 572 yards. What wrecked the 2025 fantasy line was one receiving touchdown on 81 targets, a rate with almost nowhere to go except up, and the consensus quietly repairs it to three scores and 101 points, TE24. His half-PPR cost of 157, TE26, sits below that, and standard drafters push him even further down the position at TE31, making this one of the rare spots where the projection is the aggressive party rather than the market. The style is admittedly unglamorous, a 23rd-percentile aDOT and 9.7 yards per catch, though six broken tackles (95th percentile) say he isn't a statue, and his actual points landed within two of what the usage predicted, honest production for the role. Full-field players with locked jobs and depressed touchdown luck are the standard recipe for cheap tight end profit, and Otton fits every part of it.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":null,"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-08-24","source":"curves-v1"}}}