{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7588","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:19:11.881339+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"7588","name":"Javonte Williams","team":"DAL","pos":"RB","age":26,"exp":5,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":97.3,"ros_ppg":17.14,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":17.143111111111114,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":224,"adp":32.5,"adp_pr":16,"ly":{"pts":225.3,"g":16,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":252.0,"rushing_yards":1201.0,"rushing_tds":11.0,"targets":51.0,"receptions":35.0,"receiving_yards":137.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":68.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":2.0,"tgt_share":8.7,"ppg":14.08,"ypc":4.8,"ypt":2.7,"ypr":3.9,"catch_pct":68.6,"total_yd":1338.0,"ypg":83.6,"touches":287.0,"first_downs":75.0,"xfp":240.0,"xfp_diff":-10.7,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":69.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":21.83,"rush_time_to_los":2.76,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.6,"rush_efficiency":3.2,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.43,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.38,"rush_yac_att":2.39,"rush_broken_tackles":25.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0},"ytd":{"pts":121.0,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":110.0,"rushing_yards":472.0,"rushing_tds":8.0,"targets":22.0,"receptions":19.0,"receiving_yards":103.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":30.0,"receiving_first_downs":4.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":8.3,"ppg":17.29,"ypc":4.3,"ypt":4.7,"ypr":5.4,"catch_pct":86.4,"total_yd":575.0,"ypg":82.1,"touches":129.0,"first_downs":34.0,"xfp":117.7,"xfp_diff":3.3,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":74.9,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":18.18,"rush_time_to_los":2.78,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.38,"rush_efficiency":3.45,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.46,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.65,"rush_yac_att":1.64,"rush_broken_tackles":7.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"7588","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:19:11.884235+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Dallas fed Williams 287 touches last year and he turned them into 225 points with 11 rushing touchdowns, and the underlying numbers say he earned it the hard way: 25 broken tackles as a runner, third most at the position, plus 2.39 yards after contact per attempt (88th percentile) against a thoroughly average 2.38 before contact. He also ran the most direct path to the line of any qualified back, a pure north-south profile in an offense Vegas ranks fourth in implied totals for 2026. The RB18 price at ADP 36 carries two caveats worth weighing. His receiving was close to worthless, 3.9 yards per reception and a 68.6 percent catch rate that both sit at the bottom of the qualified pool, so the value has to come on the ground. Dallas has also said openly it wants a lighter workload for him this season, with Jaydon Blue, Malik Davis, and Phil Mafah competing for the complementary role. He finished about 15 points under his expected total too, meaning 2025 was not even efficiency-inflated. What you are buying in the third round is a real lead job with a stated plan to trim it.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Javonte Williams remains Cowboys lead back in 2026 — Williams has the bell-cow, or at least the lead role, on lockdown. However, what's primarily in question is who will be backing him up, as Jaydon Blue, Malik Davis, and Phil Mafah are all vying for the role. It appears Dallas, while comfortable with Williams, doesn't want to put the same sort of workload on him again this season as he had in 2025. That could hurt his upside unless he becomes more proficient in the passing game, but on volume alone he should maintain RB2 status.","latest_at":"2026-07-20T14:32:08+00:00","updated_at":"2026-07-24T10:00:03.311515+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"bell cow role; lead role; workload on him; maintain rb2 status; vying for the role","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":-1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:07.178504+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}