# Travis Etienne Jr. — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7543 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7543", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:23:37.286249+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "7543", "name": "Travis Etienne Jr.", "team": "NO", "pos": "RB", "age": 27, "exp": 5, "injury": "IR", "rookie": false, "value": 26.1, "ros_ppg": 9.24, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 9.235222222222223, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 214, "adp": 40.7, "adp_pr": 19, "ly": { "pts": 235.9, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 260.0, "rushing_yards": 1107.0, "rushing_tds": 7.0, "targets": 52.0, "receptions": 36.0, "receiving_yards": 292.0, "receiving_tds": 6.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 51.0, "receiving_first_downs": 14.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 9.5, "ppg": 13.88, "ypc": 4.3, "ypt": 5.6, "ypr": 8.1, "catch_pct": 69.2, "total_yd": 1399.0, "ypg": 82.3, "touches": 296.0, "first_downs": 65.0, "xfp": 225.7, "xfp_diff": 10.2, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 60.1, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 22.69, "rush_time_to_los": 2.86, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.16, "rush_efficiency": 3.92, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.37, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 5.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 4.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.24, "rush_yac_att": 2.1, "rush_broken_tackles": 10.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 9.6 }, "ytd": { "pts": 23.4, "g": 3, "through_week": 3, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 30.0, "rushing_yards": 128.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 13.0, "receptions": 11.0, "receiving_yards": 51.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 7.0, "receiving_first_downs": 3.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 10.5, "ppg": 7.8, "ypc": 4.3, "ypt": 3.9, "ypr": 4.6, "catch_pct": 84.6, "total_yd": 179.0, "ypg": 59.7, "touches": 41.0, "first_downs": 10.0, "xfp": 35.0, "xfp_diff": -11.6, "xfp_through_week": 3, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 50.3, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 3.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "7543", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:23:37.288702+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "New Orleans bought last year's version of Etienne at retail, and the composition of that season deserves scrutiny before anyone spends a third-round pick on the sequel. His 235.9 points made him a top-ten back in total scoring, but he beat his opportunity-based expectation by ten points, and a large piece of the surplus came from six receiving touchdowns, second most at the position and the kind of number that rarely repeats. The pure rushing metrics were ordinary, 4.3 yards per carry with rush yards over expected in the 34th percentile, and he dropped 9.6 percent of his targets, third worst among qualified backs. Now the environment changes underneath him: the Saints carry a 21.7 implied team total, 23rd in the early lines, a real downgrade from the Jacksonville offense that produced those numbers. The consensus projection accounts for most of this, slotting him RB19 at 212 points against a market cost of RB17 at ADP 34. Drafters are paying a modest premium for a scoring total built partly on touchdown timing, attached to a runner whose situation just got worse.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Travis Etienne Jr. (hamstring) placed on injured reserve — The Saints have decided to place Etienne on injured reserve, which means that he is going to be sidelined for at least the next four weeks. He may be out longer than that as well, but the team has yet to place a concrete timetable on his recovery. Look for Alvin Kamara and Kendre Miller to both shoulder a much bigger workload in this backfield for the foreseeable future as a result of his absence.", "latest_at": "2026-10-01T20:48:24+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-02T09:00:26.048514+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 2, "llm_weeks_out": 5.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "placed on injured reserve; sidelined for at least four weeks; no concrete timetable; bigger workload; hamstring", "llm_role_change": -1, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": -1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-03T09:26:40.678540+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```