# Hunter Long — FootballQuants player source

Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7535

Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes.

```json
{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7535",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:48.662959+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "7535",
    "name": "Hunter Long",
    "team": "ARI",
    "pos": "TE",
    "age": 28,
    "exp": 5,
    "injury": "IR",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 2.63,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 2.629157507757697,
      "source": "fallback",
      "captured_at": null,
      "covered_weeks": [],
      "missing_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        13,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 14,
    "adp": 466.7,
    "adp_pr": 76,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 26.5,
      "g": 7,
      "through_week": 9,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 17.0,
      "receptions": 12.0,
      "receiving_yards": 85.0,
      "receiving_tds": 2.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 6.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 7.0,
      "ppg": 3.79,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 5.0,
      "ypr": 7.1,
      "catch_pct": 70.6,
      "total_yd": 85.0,
      "ypg": 12.1,
      "touches": 12.0,
      "first_downs": 6.0,
      "xfp": 23.8,
      "xfp_diff": 2.7,
      "xfp_through_week": 9,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 39.9,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 4.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 23.5
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 2.5,
      "g": 4,
      "through_week": 4,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 2.0,
      "receptions": 2.0,
      "receiving_yards": 15.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 1.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 1.4,
      "ppg": 0.62,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 7.5,
      "ypr": 7.5,
      "catch_pct": 100.0,
      "total_yd": 15.0,
      "ypg": 3.8,
      "touches": 2.0,
      "first_downs": 1.0,
      "xfp": 2.2,
      "xfp_diff": 0.3,
      "xfp_through_week": 4,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 32.2,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 0.0
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "7535",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:48.665596+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Long's 2025 per-game line was better than his projection, but the role moved the wrong way. He ranked TE44 in PPG over seven games and scored twice on 17 targets, finishing slightly above xFP. Jacksonville now lists him fourth, and projection TE83 gives him only 12.9 points. The Jaguars' Week 1 team total is decent at 24.0, but a fourth tight end has little access to it. He is a touchdown-efficiency footnote from last season unless the depth chart changes before Week 1.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-20T03:01:08.390916+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Hunter Long placed on IR — Long will miss at least the next four games. His absence will not impact fantasy managers. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-06T20:53:34+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-07T19:00:23.532123+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": 0,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
      "llm_severity": 2,
      "llm_weeks_out": 4.0,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "placed on ir; miss at least four games; will miss at least; not impact fantasy",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-08T09:23:07.247961+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "ir",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    },
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "ir",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}
```