{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7527","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:55.584899+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"7527","name":"Mac Jones","team":"SF","pos":"QB","age":28,"exp":5,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":5.25,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":5.247211125599714,"source":"fallback","captured_at":null,"covered_weeks":[],"missing_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"remaining_games":9},"proj":10,"adp":685.8,"adp_pr":207,"ly":{"pts":128.0,"g":11,"through_week":16,"passing_yards":2151.0,"passing_tds":13.0,"interceptions":6.0,"carries":36.0,"rushing_yards":60.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":107.0,"rushing_first_downs":13.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":2.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":11.64,"ypc":1.7,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":2211.0,"ypg":201.0,"touches":36.0,"first_downs":13.0,"xfp":13.0,"xfp_diff":null,"xfp_through_week":13,"xfp_coverage":"partial"},"adv":{"snap_pct":74.4,"pass_time_to_throw":2.71,"pass_adot":7.06,"pass_aggressiveness":16.96,"pass_cpoe":3.53,"pass_air_to_sticks":-1.97,"pass_rating":97.4,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":15.7,"pass_bad_throw_pct":15.3,"rec_drop_pct":null},"ytd":{"pts":-0.2,"g":1,"through_week":2,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":2.0,"rushing_yards":-2.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":-0.2,"ypc":-1.0,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":-2.0,"ypg":-2.0,"touches":2.0,"first_downs":0.0},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":15.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":null}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"7527","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:55.588403+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"unavailable","news_inference":"unavailable","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"San Francisco's backup made eleven appearances in 2025 and the relief work held up: 12.2 points per game, a 97.4 passer rating in the 71st percentile, and a positive CPOE near the 74th percentile, all while his snap share sat in the bottom five percent of the position because he was shuttling in and out of a broken season. The 49ers also profile as a top-seven scoring environment on early implied totals at 25.4 a game, which makes Jones the rare backup whose spot starts are genuinely usable. The 2QB market has taken that logic somewhere unsupportable, though. Pick 181 and QB34 for a player projected 55th at his position with about 10 points treats the injury scenario as close to a base case, and he carries a questionable tag of his own into camp. He's worth a late superflex pick as one of the better handcuff quarterbacks available, several rounds after where the market currently takes him.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":null,"injury_outlook":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.563580908816535,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":4.563580908816535,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}