{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7526","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:21:44.428211+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"7526","name":"Jaylen Waddle","team":"DEN","pos":"WR","age":27,"exp":5,"injury":"Questionable","rookie":false,"value":23.8,"ros_ppg":10.18,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":10.178,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":173,"adp":46.6,"adp_pr":21,"ly":{"pts":162.1,"g":16,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":8.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":2.0,"rushing_yards":28.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":100.0,"receptions":64.0,"receiving_yards":910.0,"receiving_tds":6.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":48.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":22.8,"ppg":10.13,"ypc":14.0,"ypt":9.1,"ypr":14.2,"catch_pct":64.0,"total_yd":946.0,"ypg":59.1,"touches":66.0,"first_downs":49.0,"xfp":150.8,"xfp_diff":11.0,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":77.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.72,"rec_avg_cushion":6.19,"rec_adot":12.29,"rec_air_share":38.75,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.15,"rec_catch_pct":64.0,"rec_drops":5.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.0},"ytd":{"pts":48.9,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":2.0,"rushing_yards":23.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":45.0,"receptions":26.0,"receiving_yards":276.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":11.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":23.0,"ppg":6.99,"ypc":11.5,"ypt":6.1,"ypr":10.6,"catch_pct":57.8,"total_yd":299.0,"ypg":42.7,"touches":28.0,"first_downs":12.0,"xfp":59.7,"xfp_diff":-10.8,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":66.1,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.56,"rec_avg_cushion":7.16,"rec_adot":9.95,"rec_air_share":35.63,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.3,"rec_catch_pct":57.78,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":4.4}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"7526","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:21:44.431231+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"current","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Waddle's 2025 reads stronger than its box score: he drew a 38.7 percent air-yards share, fourth among qualified wideouts, held a 22 percent target share, produced 9.1 yards per target, and beat his usage-based expectation by 11 points. All of it was earned in Miami, and Miami is the part that changed. Denver's early implied totals average 21.3 points, 25th in the league, with a Week 1 trip to Kansas City where Vegas hangs 20 on the Broncos. The consensus votes with the skeptics at 172 points, WR27, while standard-format drafters keep paying WR18, a full tier above, effectively treating the air-yards crown as portable. His underlying athletic markers were ordinary last year, separation and YAC over expected both mid-pack or worse, so the profile leans on depth of target rather than after-catch juice, which makes the role even more scheme-dependent. If the new offense features him the same way, the projection will look timid, and the current price forces you to pay for that outcome in July.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jaylen Waddle (chest) listed questionable Sunday  — Waddle got in a pair of limited practices to end the week. He will be a borderline WR2/WR3 play for fantasy managers if he is cleared. ","latest_at":"2026-10-30T21:11:46+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":0.5,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"questionable sunday; limited practices; borderline wr2 wr3; chest injury","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-31T23:19:13.037319+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}