{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7049","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:28:35.070592+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"7049","name":"Jauan Jennings","team":"MIN","pos":"WR","age":29,"exp":6,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":4.57,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":4.5708,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":110,"adp":215.7,"adp_pr":76,"ly":{"pts":143.8,"g":15,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":90.0,"receptions":55.0,"receiving_yards":643.0,"receiving_tds":9.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":36.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":19.4,"ppg":9.59,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.1,"ypr":11.7,"catch_pct":61.1,"total_yd":643.0,"ypg":42.9,"touches":55.0,"first_downs":36.0,"xfp":137.7,"xfp_diff":8.1,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":82.1,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.23,"rec_avg_cushion":5.64,"rec_adot":10.18,"rec_air_share":22.36,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.77,"rec_catch_pct":61.11,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.3},"ytd":{"pts":6.3,"g":5,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":8.0,"receptions":4.0,"receiving_yards":43.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":2.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":6.0,"ppg":1.26,"ypc":null,"ypt":5.4,"ypr":10.8,"catch_pct":50.0,"total_yd":43.0,"ypg":8.6,"touches":4.0,"first_downs":2.0,"xfp":12.5,"xfp_diff":-6.2,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":69.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"7049","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:28:35.075206+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Nine touchdowns on 90 targets made Jennings a top-30 half-PPR receiver by total points in 2025, at 9.6 per game with an 11.2-point median that speaks to weekly dependability rather than spike weeks. He earned it in traffic, averaging 2.21 yards of separation, a 7th-percentile figure, while breaking four tackles after the catch, an 84th-percentile mark, the signature of a physical possession receiver who wins in contested situations. The move from San Francisco to Minnesota clouds all of it. He arrives listed third on the depth chart at age 29, and the consensus projection cuts him to 110 points and WR64, roughly 34 points below his 2025 line. The market's read splits sharply by format: standard drafters still pay WR52, pick 123, well ahead of the projection, while half-PPR lets him slide to WR60, pick 148. A TD-heavy, low-reception style genuinely is worth relatively more in standard scoring, though a premium that large over projection is steep for a receiver changing teams this late in his career. The half-PPR price is the one that leaves room to be wrong.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jauan Jennings: 49ers team to monitor  — Jennings has been disappointing to start the season with the Vikings. A reunion with the 49ers could be a possibility as their wide receiver room remains banged up. ","latest_at":"2026-10-13T18:44:22+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"disappointing to start; reunion with the 49ers; wide receiver room banged up; team to monitor","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":1,"llm_team_context":1,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-14T09:03:47.383230+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"absent","exp_miss_next6":3.697937500856865,"as_of":"2026-09-28","source":"curves-v1"}}}