# Juwan Johnson — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7002 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7002", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:19:00.523436+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "7002", "name": "Juwan Johnson", "team": "NO", "pos": "TE", "age": 30, "exp": 6, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 19.5, "ros_ppg": 8.82, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 8.82488888888889, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 123, "adp": 179.6, "adp_pr": 19, "ly": { "pts": 141.4, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 102.0, "receptions": 77.0, "receiving_yards": 889.0, "receiving_tds": 3.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 41.0, "fumbles_lost": 2.0, "tgt_share": 18.1, "ppg": 8.32, "ypc": null, "ypt": 8.7, "ypr": 11.5, "catch_pct": 75.5, "total_yd": 889.0, "ypg": 52.3, "touches": 77.0, "first_downs": 41.0, "xfp": 127.1, "xfp_diff": 18.3, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 75.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.59, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.92, "rec_adot": 7.35, "rec_air_share": 16.17, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.08, "rec_catch_pct": 75.49, "rec_drops": 6.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 5.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 5.9 }, "ytd": { "pts": 54.5, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 37.0, "receptions": 26.0, "receiving_yards": 255.0, "receiving_tds": 3.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 15.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 14.1, "ppg": 7.79, "ypc": null, "ypt": 6.9, "ypr": 9.8, "catch_pct": 70.3, "total_yd": 255.0, "ypg": 36.4, "touches": 26.0, "first_downs": 15.0, "xfp": 52.9, "xfp_diff": 3.6, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 65.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.69, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.83, "rec_adot": 5.33, "rec_air_share": 10.31, "rec_yac_above_exp": 1.08, "rec_catch_pct": 70.27, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "7002", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:19:00.527887+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Only two tight ends out-gained Juwan Johnson's 889 receiving yards last season, and the volume underneath was as real as it looks: 102 targets, 77 catches, and an 18.1 percent target share, all top-eight marks at the position. Half-PPR drafters currently get that at pick 143 as the TE21, four spots below where the consensus projection slots him, which makes him one of the few proven 100-target tight ends available that late. The discount traces to scoring, three touchdowns across 17 games that held him to 8.3 points per game, and a Saints offense Vegas prices 23rd by implied total offers little hope of a spike there. The charting says the yardage was earned, with a 77th-percentile air-yards share and above-average separation rather than junk volume, and he beat his usage-based expected points by 14, so no efficiency debt is coming due. His real blemishes are handling, six drops and two lost fumbles, which is a livable flaw in a player whose job on your roster is to catch five balls a week and hold a floor.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Juwan Johnson hauls in six passes Monday — The veteran tight end had a nice outing on Monday night. He finished with six receptions for 59 yards over the course of the game, although he wasn't able to get into the end zone at all, which left him with a mediocre fantasy total. He will continue to be a reliable week-to-week option until Jordyn Tyson (hamstring) is available to make his debut for the Saints.", "latest_at": "2026-10-06T12:23:07+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-07T09:00:30.592550+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 0, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "six receptions; reliable week-to-week; no touchdown; jordyn tyson hamstring; mediocre fantasy total", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-07T09:06:06.650420+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": null, "as_of": "2026-09-18", "source": "status-only" } } } ```