{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/6904","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:16.567686+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"6904","name":"Jalen Hurts","team":"PHI","pos":"QB","age":28,"exp":6,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":32.4,"ros_ppg":17.82,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":17.815725784407807,"source":"fallback","captured_at":null,"covered_weeks":[],"missing_weeks":[8,9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"remaining_games":9},"proj":313,"adp":61.0,"adp_pr":5,"ly":{"pts":301.1,"g":16,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":3224.0,"passing_tds":25.0,"interceptions":6.0,"carries":105.0,"rushing_yards":421.0,"rushing_tds":8.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":150.0,"rushing_first_downs":42.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":3.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":18.82,"ypc":4.0,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":3645.0,"ypg":227.8,"touches":105.0,"first_downs":42.0,"xfp":78.4,"xfp_diff":11.7,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":97.6,"pass_time_to_throw":2.98,"pass_adot":8.97,"pass_aggressiveness":17.84,"pass_cpoe":3.05,"pass_air_to_sticks":0.19,"pass_rating":98.49,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":3.27,"rush_yac_att":0.68,"rush_broken_tackles":3.0,"pass_pressured_pct":17.1,"pass_bad_throw_pct":14.7,"rec_drop_pct":null},"ytd":{"pts":80.0,"g":5,"through_week":5,"passing_yards":933.0,"passing_tds":8.0,"interceptions":3.0,"carries":23.0,"rushing_yards":107.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":0.0,"receptions":0.0,"receiving_yards":0.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":43.0,"rushing_first_downs":8.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":0.0,"ppg":16.0,"ypc":4.7,"ypt":null,"ypr":null,"catch_pct":null,"total_yd":1040.0,"ypg":208.0,"touches":23.0,"first_downs":8.0,"xfp":17.9,"xfp_diff":-1.2,"xfp_through_week":5,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":98.4,"pass_time_to_throw":3.04,"pass_adot":7.93,"pass_aggressiveness":14.29,"pass_cpoe":-2.37,"pass_air_to_sticks":-1.47,"pass_rating":84.69,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":null,"rec_broken_tackles":null,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":26.4,"pass_bad_throw_pct":23.5,"rec_drop_pct":null}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"6904","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:16.702957+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Usage keeps Hurts near the top of the position regardless of what the efficiency numbers say. His expected fantasy points from carries and targets ranked second among all quarterbacks last season, built on 105 carries, eight rushing touchdowns, and a 95th percentile count of rushing first downs, mostly short-yardage work that survives changes in form. The efficiency underneath is genuinely poor, 4.0 yards a carry with a 13th percentile yards-after-contact rate, though grading sneak-heavy carries on efficiency misses why they exist. The passing held its own, with a 72nd percentile CPOE, an 87th percentile air-yards-to-sticks figure, six interceptions across the whole season, and one of the lowest pressure rates at the position. He finished QB7 in scoring at 19.2 points per game, and the market now prices him QB6 in the sixth round, effectively re-drafting the same player at the same slot. A floor sourced from a guaranteed goal-line role, rather than from talent needing to repeat, is the most dependable kind at this position, and that is what the pick buys.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jalen Hurts (calf) off injury report Sunday  — Hurts was added to the injury report on Friday. He will be good to go on Sunday. 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