# Jonathan Taylor — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/6813 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/6813", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:30:16.725500+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "6813", "name": "Jonathan Taylor", "team": "IND", "pos": "RB", "age": 27, "exp": 6, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 95.4, "ros_ppg": 16.94, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 16.936999999999998, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 290, "adp": 5.0, "adp_pr": 4, "ly": { "pts": 337.3, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 323.0, "rushing_yards": 1585.0, "rushing_tds": 18.0, "targets": 55.0, "receptions": 46.0, "receiving_yards": 378.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 88.0, "receiving_first_downs": 15.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 10.4, "ppg": 19.84, "ypc": 4.9, "ypt": 6.9, "ypr": 8.2, "catch_pct": 83.6, "total_yd": 1963.0, "ypg": 115.5, "touches": 369.0, "first_downs": 103.0, "xfp": 284.2, "xfp_diff": 55.1, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 82.6, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 17.65, "rush_time_to_los": 2.74, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.6, "rush_efficiency": 3.48, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.36, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 4.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 8.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.56, "rush_yac_att": 2.35, "rush_broken_tackles": 27.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 7.3 }, "ytd": { "pts": 129.0, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 140.0, "rushing_yards": 587.0, "rushing_tds": 8.0, "targets": 26.0, "receptions": 17.0, "receiving_yards": 178.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 34.0, "receiving_first_downs": 6.0, "fumbles_lost": 2.0, "tgt_share": 11.6, "ppg": 18.43, "ypc": 4.2, "ypt": 6.8, "ypr": 10.5, "catch_pct": 65.4, "total_yd": 765.0, "ypg": 109.3, "touches": 157.0, "first_downs": 40.0, "xfp": 126.0, "xfp_diff": 7.0, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 79.6, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 18.57, "rush_time_to_los": 2.74, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.0, "rush_efficiency": 4.04, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.37, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 4.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.52, "rush_yac_att": 1.67, "rush_broken_tackles": 5.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 3.8 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "6813", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:30:16.728856+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Jonathan Taylor led football with 18 rushing touchdowns, and that number is carrying a first-round price. He beat his expected points by 53, a 96th-percentile overshoot, and the touchdown total is the least repeatable part of it, which is why the consensus haircuts him to 288 and RB4 with 13 scores in the line. Plenty of the profile is sturdy: a league-high 323 carries, 27 broken tackles on runs, second-most at the position, and 2.35 yards after contact per carry in the 86th percentile, so the yardage is largely his own creation rather than a gift from blocking that graded middle-of-the-pack. The weekly experience deserves pricing too: his median week was 15.4 points against a 19.8 average, with a 48-point week propping up the season, and only 55 targets means there's no catch volume to smooth the games when he doesn't score. Indianapolis sits in the bottom half of early implied totals, and the half-PPR market at 6.4 overall lands almost exactly on the projection. He's a sensibly priced bell-cow whose weeks will run lumpier than the draft slot implies.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Jonathan Taylor, Colts active in trade talks — Tom Pelissero reported that the Colts already turned down an offer for Taylor that included a 2027 second-round pick and another pick. This will remain a situation to monitor with the trade deadline around the corner. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-31T19:51:40+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 0, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "active in trade talks; turned down an offer; 2027 second-round pick; trade deadline", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.5, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:15:42.898444+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```