# Jerry Jeudy — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/6783 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/6783", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:23:10.367799+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "6783", "name": "Jerry Jeudy", "team": "CLE", "pos": "WR", "age": 27, "exp": 6, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 2.47, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 2.4667777777777773, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 126, "adp": 212.4, "adp_pr": 73, "ly": { "pts": 95.7, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 1.0, "rushing_yards": 5.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 106.0, "receptions": 50.0, "receiving_yards": 602.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 1.0, "receiving_first_downs": 31.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 20.3, "ppg": 5.63, "ypc": 5.0, "ypt": 5.7, "ypr": 12.0, "catch_pct": 47.2, "total_yd": 607.0, "ypg": 35.7, "touches": 51.0, "first_downs": 32.0, "xfp": 153.4, "xfp_diff": -55.7, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 84.5, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.49, "rec_avg_cushion": 5.64, "rec_adot": 11.88, "rec_air_share": 36.4, "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.02, "rec_catch_pct": 47.17, "rec_drops": 10.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 9.4 }, "ytd": { "pts": 25.1, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 23.0, "receptions": 16.0, "receiving_yards": 171.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 10.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 13.0, "ppg": 4.18, "ypc": null, "ypt": 7.4, "ypr": 10.7, "catch_pct": 69.6, "total_yd": 171.0, "ypg": 28.5, "touches": 16.0, "first_downs": 10.0, "xfp": 28.8, "xfp_diff": -3.7, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 59.3, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 3.45, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.6, "rec_adot": 9.6, "rec_air_share": 14.14, "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.26, "rec_catch_pct": 69.57, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "6783", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:23:10.370585+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "No qualified receiver converted opportunity worse than Jeudy in 2025. The usage was legitimately strong, 106 targets, a 20.3% target share, and a 36.5% air-yards share in the 91st percentile, adding up to 153 expected half-PPR points, a top-25 workload. He scored 95.7, a gap of minus-57.7 that ranked 98th out of 98. He owns a chunk of that himself, with ten drops, a 9.4% drop rate that was fourth-worst at the position, and a 47% catch rate in the 5th percentile. The rest traces to Cleveland's passing environment, and the 2026 outlook there is grim, an 18.4 average implied total that ranks 31st in the league. Gaps this size usually regress, and the consensus assumes some of that, projecting 118 points and WR58 on 747 receiving yards. His half-PPR ADP has slid all the way to 168, WR66. If anything close to that target volume holds, the 15th round is buying a meaningful amount of free opportunity, and the questionable tag currently carries no expected missed games. The real bet is that his conversion can merely be bad next year instead of the worst in the league, in an offense that offers him no margin at all.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Jerry Jeudy could be traded by Browns — Jordan Schultz reported he's not sure they'll be able to get it. Jeudy will be a player to monitor closer to the trade deadline. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-13T18:38:08+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 0, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "could be traded; monitor closer; trade deadline; not sure they'll; player to monitor", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.7, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:10:41.576153+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "absent", "exp_miss_next6": 3.697937500856865, "as_of": "2026-10-05", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```