{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5947","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:18:16.065300+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"5947","name":"Jakobi Meyers","team":"JAX","pos":"WR","age":29,"exp":7,"injury":"Questionable","rookie":false,"value":13.1,"ros_ppg":8.84,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":8.8392,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":142,"adp":128.3,"adp_pr":52,"ly":{"pts":138.3,"g":16,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":5.0,"rushing_yards":13.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":110.0,"receptions":75.0,"receiving_yards":835.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":43.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":22.8,"ppg":8.64,"ypc":2.6,"ypt":7.6,"ypr":11.1,"catch_pct":68.2,"total_yd":848.0,"ypg":53.0,"touches":80.0,"first_downs":44.0,"xfp":159.4,"xfp_diff":-19.1,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":85.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.73,"rec_avg_cushion":6.41,"rec_adot":9.4,"rec_air_share":21.14,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.34,"rec_catch_pct":68.18,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.7},"ytd":{"pts":50.7,"g":6,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":2.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":28.0,"receptions":20.0,"receiving_yards":285.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":16.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":15.7,"ppg":8.45,"ypc":2.0,"ypt":10.2,"ypr":14.2,"catch_pct":71.4,"total_yd":287.0,"ypg":47.8,"touches":21.0,"first_downs":17.0,"xfp":47.2,"xfp_diff":3.5,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":79.7,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.19,"rec_avg_cushion":7.79,"rec_adot":11.9,"rec_air_share":21.41,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.77,"rec_catch_pct":71.43,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.6}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"5947","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:18:16.071601+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"The format split in Jakobi Meyers' draft price runs backwards from his profile. A 75-catch, three-touchdown possession receiver is exactly the archetype reception scoring exists to reward, yet standard drafters take him at pick 77 while half-PPR drafters let him fall to 96. His 2025 usage was heavy and real, 110 targets on an 82nd-percentile target share with a 68 percent catch rate and a 92nd-percentile touch count, and the 21-point shortfall against his expected total traces mostly to finding the end zone three times on volume that normally produces about twice that, the kind of touchdown drought that tends to correct on its own. The consensus projection leans that way too, calling for 71 catches and a WR34 finish at 150 points, an eight-spot gap below where half-PPR drafters can currently get him. What clouds the picture is Jacksonville's receiver room, where he's listed third on the depth chart, so the target share he banked last season has to survive a crowd this season. Volume this proven usually finds its level anyway, and touchdown regression has a way of locating players who keep running routes at an 85 percent snap share.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Jakobi Meyers (thumb) listed as limited Thursday — As expected, Meyers remained a limited participant for another practice on Thursday. He should be good to go for Sunday's game, however, assuming he doesn't suffer any setbacks between now and then.","latest_at":"2026-10-02T04:25:10+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-02T19:00:23.249033+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":0.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"limited participant; good to go; another practice; limited thursday; doesn't suffer setbacks","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-02T19:10:46.293753+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":1.6780349575271793,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}