# Terry McLaurin — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5927 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5927", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:20:31.912604+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "5927", "name": "Terry McLaurin", "team": "WAS", "pos": "WR", "age": 31, "exp": 7, "injury": "IR", "rookie": false, "value": 26.0, "ros_ppg": 10.13, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 10.128917116865537, "source": "fallback", "captured_at": null, "covered_weeks": [], "missing_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": 175, "adp": 53.2, "adp_pr": 23, "ly": { "pts": 95.2, "g": 10, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 60.0, "receptions": 38.0, "receiving_yards": 582.0, "receiving_tds": 3.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 33.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 23.3, "ppg": 9.52, "ypc": null, "ypt": 9.7, "ypr": 15.3, "catch_pct": 63.3, "total_yd": 582.0, "ypg": 58.2, "touches": 38.0, "first_downs": 33.0, "xfp": 94.0, "xfp_diff": 1.2, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 70.4, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.43, "rec_avg_cushion": 6.7, "rec_adot": 14.04, "rec_air_share": 22.37, "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.0, "rec_catch_pct": 63.33, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 6.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 1.7 }, "ytd": { "pts": 36.5, "g": 5, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 0.0, "rushing_yards": 0.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 27.0, "receptions": 15.0, "receiving_yards": 230.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 0.0, "receiving_first_downs": 12.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 17.9, "ppg": 7.3, "ypc": null, "ypt": 8.5, "ypr": 15.3, "catch_pct": 55.6, "total_yd": 230.0, "ypg": 46.0, "touches": 15.0, "first_downs": 12.0, "xfp": 43.0, "xfp_diff": -6.5, "xfp_through_week": 6, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 60.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": 2.9, "rec_avg_cushion": 4.64, "rec_adot": 12.93, "rec_air_share": 19.86, "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.06, "rec_catch_pct": 55.56, "rec_drops": 3.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": null, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 11.1 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "5927", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:20:31.918563+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "stale", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "McLaurin's game has settled into a specific shape: a 14.1-yard aDOT in the 91st percentile, average separation down at the 20th, minimal yards after the catch, sure hands (a 1.7 percent drop rate, among the position's lowest), and 9.7 yards per target. He wins the ball downfield rather than the route underneath, and across his ten 2025 games that produced 9.5 points per game, almost exactly what his usage predicted. The fifth-round market in the WR25 range sits a touch below the WR22 consensus projection of 179 points, a small age discount at 30 that seems reasonable on its face. The number worth interrogating is the 7.6 projected touchdowns, since he caught three all of last season and Washington's implied totals rank mid-pack. Contested-catch receivers leave little margin as they age, because the profile has no fallback if the ball-winning slips, and the charting already shows separation near the bottom of the position with the hands and per-target production holding everything together. He profiles as a steady third receiver whose season swings on a touchdown count nobody can chart in July.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Terry McLaurin (hamstring) remains game-time decision Sunday — Keim notes that at this point, there's a slight lean to McLaurin playing, but it's \"just slight.\" His status will need to be monitored 90 minutes before kickoff. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-11T02:33:57+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-11T09:00:23.208085+00:00", "llm_sentiment": null, "llm_injury_trajectory": null, "llm_severity": null, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": null, "llm_key_phrases": null, "llm_role_change": null, "llm_usage_outlook": null, "llm_team_context": null, "llm_relevance": null, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-10T19:23:54.080783+00:00", "llm_model": null, "inference_status": "stale" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```