{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5906","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.650624+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"5906","name":"Dawson Knox","team":"BUF","pos":"TE","age":29,"exp":7,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":2.57,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":2.5711000000000004,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":65,"adp":683.5,"adp_pr":227,"ly":{"pts":83.7,"g":16,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":49.0,"receptions":36.0,"receiving_yards":417.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":23.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":10.8,"ppg":5.23,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.5,"ypr":11.6,"catch_pct":73.5,"total_yd":417.0,"ypg":26.1,"touches":36.0,"first_downs":23.0,"xfp":75.5,"xfp_diff":8.2,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":58.3,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.66,"rec_avg_cushion":5.3,"rec_adot":7.05,"rec_air_share":10.08,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.24,"rec_catch_pct":73.47,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":4.1},"ytd":{"pts":13.6,"g":6,"through_week":6,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":10.0,"receptions":8.0,"receiving_yards":36.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":3.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":6.2,"ppg":2.27,"ypc":0.0,"ypt":3.6,"ypr":4.5,"catch_pct":80.0,"total_yd":36.0,"ypg":6.0,"touches":9.0,"first_downs":3.0,"xfp":17.1,"xfp_diff":-3.5,"xfp_through_week":6,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":68.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"5906","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.679609+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Dawson Knox keeps doing efficient things in a loud offense. He played all 16 games last year, caught 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and four scores, averaged 8.5 yards per target, around the 70th percentile, and beat his expected points by eight. Buffalo's 25.6 implied total ranks fifth in the league, which is the sort of environment where a tight end's touchdowns keep showing up. The cap is volume: 3.1 targets a game and a 10.3 percent target share on 58 percent of the snaps, numbers no efficiency can stretch into weekly-starter output. The projection lands at about 64 points, TE36, and with a half-PPR ADP of 342 he costs the last pick at most. Among last-round tight ends, decent per-target play inside a top-five offense is a reasonable recipe for spike weeks, and his 17.2-point Week 15 is what that looks like when it hits.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Dawson Knox hauls in one pass in Week 5 — Knox turned in another slow day as he has yet to go over two catches or 13 receiving yards in a game thus far. Overall, the veteran tight end has seven catches for 36 yards and a touchdown through five games. He will not be a strong fantasy option in Week 6 vs. the Raiders.","latest_at":"2026-10-13T09:42:06+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"slow day; not a strong fantasy option; one pass; seven catches; through five games","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-14T09:01:07.634692+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}