{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/5872","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:16.198686+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"5872","name":"Deebo Samuel Sr.","team":"SF","pos":"WR","age":30,"exp":7,"injury":"Out","rookie":false,"value":9.4,"ros_ppg":8.57,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":8.573333333333332,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":135,"adp":131.6,"adp_pr":54,"ly":{"pts":152.2,"g":16,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":17.0,"rushing_yards":75.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":99.0,"receptions":72.0,"receiving_yards":727.0,"receiving_tds":5.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":4.0,"receiving_first_downs":32.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":24.7,"ppg":9.51,"ypc":4.4,"ypt":7.3,"ypr":10.1,"catch_pct":72.7,"total_yd":802.0,"ypg":50.1,"touches":89.0,"first_downs":36.0,"xfp":141.0,"xfp_diff":11.2,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":72.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.55,"rec_avg_cushion":6.25,"rec_adot":5.31,"rec_air_share":13.96,"rec_yac_above_exp":1.11,"rec_catch_pct":72.73,"rec_drops":6.0,"rec_broken_tackles":6.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":2.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.1},"ytd":{"pts":52.4,"g":5,"through_week":5,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":9.0,"rushing_yards":78.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":20.0,"receptions":16.0,"receiving_yards":206.0,"receiving_tds":3.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":4.0,"receiving_first_downs":5.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":14.6,"ppg":10.48,"ypc":8.7,"ypt":10.3,"ypr":12.9,"catch_pct":80.0,"total_yd":284.0,"ypg":56.8,"touches":25.0,"first_downs":9.0,"xfp":33.0,"xfp_diff":21.4,"xfp_through_week":5,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":57.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":4.73,"rec_avg_cushion":6.74,"rec_adot":2.96,"rec_air_share":3.66,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.62,"rec_catch_pct":80.0,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":2.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":10.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"5872","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:16.216522+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Deebo's charting describes one engineered role, built around a 5.3-yard aDOT that sat in the 6th percentile at the position, the shallowest kind of usage, and on those throws he posted a 91st-percentile catch rate with 87th-percentile separation, which mostly tells you Washington schemed him the ball rather than asking him to win downfield. The number that matters for 2026 is the 1.09 YAC over expected per reception, 85th percentile, because it says the run-after-catch ability that justifies the whole archetype was still there at age 30. He produced 152 half-PPR points across 16 games, a shade ahead of his 141 expected, with 75 rushing yards folded in. None of it transfers automatically, since the act requires a coordinator who wants to manufacture touches, and he currently has no team. A 14th-round ADP prices that uncertainty sensibly, and if he signs with a creative play-caller the profile supports more, while a landing spot that asks him to be a conventional X receiver would strand the skills that still show up on the charts.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Deebo Samuel Sr. (hamstring) to miss several weeks — Samuel Sr. exited Sunday's win over the Seahawks after suffering the hamstring pull and is still scheduled for an MRI per previous reports, joining an extensive list of playmakers out of the lineup for head coach Kyle Shanahan as the season continues.","latest_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:50+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-13T19:00:45.210835+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":5.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"hamstring pull; miss several weeks; scheduled for an mri; out of the lineup; extensive list of playmakers","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-13T19:05:28.919397+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":3.500889051272683,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"out","exp_miss_next6":3.500889051272683,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}